Current forecast consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration, Met Office, and BBC points to a minimum temperature in Wuhan on August 26 around 25–28°C amid sunny conditions, light easterly winds, and typical subtropical monsoon humidity levels near 70%. This uncertainty among short-range models—driven by subtle differences in overnight radiative cooling, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention—explains the closely matched market odds clustered between 27°C and 28°C. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 26°C with rare drops below 24°C absent frontal passages or heavy rain, keeping lower-probability outcomes like 23°C or below at just 2.5%. Updated model runs ahead of the 48-hour window will likely tighten consensus on the exact minimum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Wuhan am 26. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Wuhan am 26. August?
33°C or higher 58%
28°C 31%
27°C 30%
24°C 26%
NEU
NEU
26. Aug. 2026
23°C or below
3%
24°C
26%
25°C
20%
26°C
23%
27°C
30%
28°C
31%
29°C
24%
30°C
25%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
58%
33°C or higher 58%
28°C 31%
27°C 30%
24°C 26%
NEU
NEU
26. Aug. 2026
23°C or below
$15 Vol.
3%
24°C
$135 Vol.
26%
25°C
$0 Vol.
20%
26°C
$0 Vol.
23%
27°C
$4 Vol.
30%
28°C
$0 Vol.
31%
29°C
$0 Vol.
24%
30°C
$0 Vol.
25%
31°C
$0 Vol.
1%
32°C
$5 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$5 Vol.
58%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration, Met Office, and BBC points to a minimum temperature in Wuhan on August 26 around 25–28°C amid sunny conditions, light easterly winds, and typical subtropical monsoon humidity levels near 70%. This uncertainty among short-range models—driven by subtle differences in overnight radiative cooling, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention—explains the closely matched market odds clustered between 27°C and 28°C. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 26°C with rare drops below 24°C absent frontal passages or heavy rain, keeping lower-probability outcomes like 23°C or below at just 2.5%. Updated model runs ahead of the 48-hour window will likely tighten consensus on the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$164Enddatum
26. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration, Met Office, and BBC points to a minimum temperature in Wuhan on August 26 around 25–28°C amid sunny conditions, light easterly winds, and typical subtropical monsoon humidity levels near 70%. This uncertainty among short-range models—driven by subtle differences in overnight radiative cooling, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention—explains the closely matched market odds clustered between 27°C and 28°C. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 26°C with rare drops below 24°C absent frontal passages or heavy rain, keeping lower-probability outcomes like 23°C or below at just 2.5%. Updated model runs ahead of the 48-hour window will likely tighten consensus on the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$164Enddatum
26. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration, Met Office, and BBC points to a minimum temperature in Wuhan on August 26 around 25–28°C amid sunny conditions, light easterly winds, and typical subtropical monsoon humidity levels near 70%. This uncertainty among short-range models—driven by subtle differences in overnight radiative cooling, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention—explains the closely matched market odds clustered between 27°C and 28°C. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 26°C with rare drops below 24°C absent frontal passages or heavy rain, keeping lower-probability outcomes like 23°C or below at just 2.5%. Updated model runs ahead of the 48-hour window will likely tighten consensus on the exact minimum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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