**Forecast consensus for Mexico City’s September 2 high centers on 23–25 °C amid the rainy season’s typical cloud cover and storms, producing the closely matched market odds (24 °C at 38 %, 23 °C at 33 %, 25 °C at 23 %).** Official and ensemble guidance from sources such as the Met Office, WeatherBug, and regional models show daytime maxima near 23–25 °C (roughly 73–77 °F), with showers or thunderstorms expected during peak heating hours. These conditions limit solar insolation and surface warming at the city’s ~2,240 m elevation, where the September climatological average high is approximately 22–23 °C. Variability in storm timing, cloud thickness, and any breaks in overcast skies creates the narrow spread traders are pricing; lighter or delayed precipitation supports the slight edge toward 24 °C, while heavier or earlier rain favors 23 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings on September 1–2 will be the key near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 2. September?
24°C 44%
23°C 33%
25°C 23%
26°C or higher 20%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
8%
20°C
16%
21°C
17%
22°C
10%
23°C
33%
24°C
38%
25°C
23%
26°C or higher
20%
24°C 44%
23°C 33%
25°C 23%
26°C or higher 20%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
8%
20°C
16%
21°C
17%
22°C
10%
23°C
33%
24°C
38%
25°C
23%
26°C or higher
20%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus for Mexico City’s September 2 high centers on 23–25 °C amid the rainy season’s typical cloud cover and storms, producing the closely matched market odds (24 °C at 38 %, 23 °C at 33 %, 25 °C at 23 %).** Official and ensemble guidance from sources such as the Met Office, WeatherBug, and regional models show daytime maxima near 23–25 °C (roughly 73–77 °F), with showers or thunderstorms expected during peak heating hours. These conditions limit solar insolation and surface warming at the city’s ~2,240 m elevation, where the September climatological average high is approximately 22–23 °C. Variability in storm timing, cloud thickness, and any breaks in overcast skies creates the narrow spread traders are pricing; lighter or delayed precipitation supports the slight edge toward 24 °C, while heavier or earlier rain favors 23 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings on September 1–2 will be the key near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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