Recent ensemble forecasts for Incheon on September 1 indicate highest temperatures most likely between 26–28°C, aligning with the tightly bunched market probabilities around those levels. Cloud cover and scattered showers expected from lingering late-summer moisture are moderating daytime heating, while light southerly flow and high humidity limit rapid warming. Historical September averages near 25–26°C provide context, yet inter-model spread arises from uncertainties in precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing over the Yellow Sea region. Updated runs from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 1. September?
27°C 28%
28°C 27%
26°C 26%
25°C 19%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
19%
26°C
26%
27°C
28%
28°C
27%
29°C
15%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 28%
28°C 27%
26°C 26%
25°C 19%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
19%
26°C
26%
27°C
28%
28°C
27%
29°C
15%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts for Incheon on September 1 indicate highest temperatures most likely between 26–28°C, aligning with the tightly bunched market probabilities around those levels. Cloud cover and scattered showers expected from lingering late-summer moisture are moderating daytime heating, while light southerly flow and high humidity limit rapid warming. Historical September averages near 25–26°C provide context, yet inter-model spread arises from uncertainties in precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing over the Yellow Sea region. Updated runs from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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