Recent forecasts from multiple models show Wuhan’s September 1 maximum temperature likely settling near 27–28 °C as a typhoon peripheral trough brings increased cloud cover, northeasterly winds, and scattered light rain, sharply moderating prior 33–36 °C readings. This cooling episode creates tight clustering of market-implied odds around the central outcomes while leaving room for small forecast revisions in timing or intensity of the moisture and wind fields. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers emphasizes the brief nature of the relief, with historical early-September baselines near 30 °C underscoring how sensitive the daily peak remains to exact steering and boundary-layer mixing. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus against residual uncertainty in precipitation timing, which can suppress afternoon heating by 1–2 °C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wuhan am 1. September?
30°C 26%
29°C 21%
27°C 20%
28°C 19%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
20%
28°C
19%
29°C
21%
30°C
26%
31°C
17%
32°C
8%
33°C or higher
7%
30°C 26%
29°C 21%
27°C 20%
28°C 19%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
20%
28°C
19%
29°C
21%
30°C
26%
31°C
17%
32°C
8%
33°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models show Wuhan’s September 1 maximum temperature likely settling near 27–28 °C as a typhoon peripheral trough brings increased cloud cover, northeasterly winds, and scattered light rain, sharply moderating prior 33–36 °C readings. This cooling episode creates tight clustering of market-implied odds around the central outcomes while leaving room for small forecast revisions in timing or intensity of the moisture and wind fields. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers emphasizes the brief nature of the relief, with historical early-September baselines near 30 °C underscoring how sensitive the daily peak remains to exact steering and boundary-layer mixing. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus against residual uncertainty in precipitation timing, which can suppress afternoon heating by 1–2 °C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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