Recent forecasts for Wuhan show moderating temperatures on September 1 due to outer circulation from typhoon activity, with official guidance pointing to overnight lows near 23–25°C amid cloudy skies and scattered rain. Numerical weather models exhibit notable spread in minimum temperatures, driven by variations in cloud cover, wind patterns, and boundary-layer moisture that can enhance radiative cooling or suppress it. This uncertainty underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 18–23°C outcomes, as traders weigh ensemble consensus against historical September baselines near 23°C while monitoring updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration ahead of the 48-hour resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Wuhan am 1. September?
18°C or below 53%
20°C 49%
21°C 49%
24°C 49%
18°C or below
53%
19°C
44%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
18°C or below 53%
20°C 49%
21°C 49%
24°C 49%
18°C or below
53%
19°C
44%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Wuhan show moderating temperatures on September 1 due to outer circulation from typhoon activity, with official guidance pointing to overnight lows near 23–25°C amid cloudy skies and scattered rain. Numerical weather models exhibit notable spread in minimum temperatures, driven by variations in cloud cover, wind patterns, and boundary-layer moisture that can enhance radiative cooling or suppress it. This uncertainty underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 18–23°C outcomes, as traders weigh ensemble consensus against historical September baselines near 23°C while monitoring updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration ahead of the 48-hour resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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