Latest National Weather Service and model guidance points to a high near 100°F in Dallas on September 1 under a strong, stationary ridge of high pressure delivering clear skies, light southerly flow, and ample solar heating. This pattern has produced consecutive days above 100°F, with minimal cloud cover or moisture to suppress afternoon maxima. Forecast consensus clusters tightly around 98–102°F, aligning with market-implied probabilities favoring the 100–101°F bin at 53.5% and 98–99°F at 38.5%. Any slight westward shift in the ridge or modest increase in afternoon humidity could trim the peak by 1–2°F, while sustained clear conditions would support the upper end of that range. No significant frontal passage is expected before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Dallas am 1. September?
100-101°F 54%
98-99°F 39%
102-103°F 6%
96-97°F 4.0%
87°F oder weniger
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
39%
100-101°F
54%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
3%
106°F oder höher
1%
100-101°F 54%
98-99°F 39%
102-103°F 6%
96-97°F 4.0%
87°F oder weniger
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
39%
100-101°F
54%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
3%
106°F oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model guidance points to a high near 100°F in Dallas on September 1 under a strong, stationary ridge of high pressure delivering clear skies, light southerly flow, and ample solar heating. This pattern has produced consecutive days above 100°F, with minimal cloud cover or moisture to suppress afternoon maxima. Forecast consensus clusters tightly around 98–102°F, aligning with market-implied probabilities favoring the 100–101°F bin at 53.5% and 98–99°F at 38.5%. Any slight westward shift in the ridge or modest increase in afternoon humidity could trim the peak by 1–2°F, while sustained clear conditions would support the upper end of that range. No significant frontal passage is expected before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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