Forecast models from sources including Météo-France analogs, the Met Office, and ensemble guidance point to a maximum temperature of 24–25 °C in Paris on 30 August under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow and low precipitation risk. This range aligns with the late-August climatological normal of roughly 24 °C and follows several cooler, unsettled days that have limited daytime heating. Trader consensus at 24 °C (38.5 %) and 25 °C (27.5 %) reflects tight model agreement on modest insolation and boundary-layer moisture, while the secondary weight on 23 °C captures residual uncertainty from variable cloud timing. Updated high-resolution runs and surface observations in the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Paris am 30. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Paris am 30. August?
24°C 38%
25°C 28%
23°C 21%
26°C 9%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
7%
23°C
21%
24°C
38%
25°C
28%
26°C
9%
27°C or higher
4%
24°C 38%
25°C 28%
23°C 21%
26°C 9%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
17°C or below
$1,194 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$188 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$198 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$80 Vol.
1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
1%
22°C
$88 Vol.
7%
23°C
$66 Vol.
21%
24°C
$160 Vol.
38%
25°C
$68 Vol.
28%
26°C
$151 Vol.
9%
27°C or higher
$3 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including Météo-France analogs, the Met Office, and ensemble guidance point to a maximum temperature of 24–25 °C in Paris on 30 August under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow and low precipitation risk. This range aligns with the late-August climatological normal of roughly 24 °C and follows several cooler, unsettled days that have limited daytime heating. Trader consensus at 24 °C (38.5 %) and 25 °C (27.5 %) reflects tight model agreement on modest insolation and boundary-layer moisture, while the secondary weight on 23 °C captures residual uncertainty from variable cloud timing. Updated high-resolution runs and surface observations in the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$2,196Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including Météo-France analogs, the Met Office, and ensemble guidance point to a maximum temperature of 24–25 °C in Paris on 30 August under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow and low precipitation risk. This range aligns with the late-August climatological normal of roughly 24 °C and follows several cooler, unsettled days that have limited daytime heating. Trader consensus at 24 °C (38.5 %) and 25 °C (27.5 %) reflects tight model agreement on modest insolation and boundary-layer moisture, while the secondary weight on 23 °C captures residual uncertainty from variable cloud timing. Updated high-resolution runs and surface observations in the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,196Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including Météo-France analogs, the Met Office, and ensemble guidance point to a maximum temperature of 24–25 °C in Paris on 30 August under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow and low precipitation risk. This range aligns with the late-August climatological normal of roughly 24 °C and follows several cooler, unsettled days that have limited daytime heating. Trader consensus at 24 °C (38.5 %) and 25 °C (27.5 %) reflects tight model agreement on modest insolation and boundary-layer moisture, while the secondary weight on 23 °C captures residual uncertainty from variable cloud timing. Updated high-resolution runs and surface observations in the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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