Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature of 16–17°C in Paris on August 30, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and light winds that limit radiative cooling overnight. Official guidance shows overnight lows near 15–17°C under mostly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation expected, consistent with the seasonal decline from mid-August warmth. Historical climatology places the average low at approximately 13.4°C, yet current conditions reflect a milder pattern without significant cold advection. Market-implied odds heavily favor 17°C or 16°C as the official daily minimum, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble consensus and limited downside risk from further cooling before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 30. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 30. August?
17°C 65%
16°C 32%
18°C 7%
19°C <1%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
12°C oder darunter
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
32%
17°C
65%
18°C
7%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C oder höher
<1%
17°C 65%
16°C 32%
18°C 7%
19°C <1%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
12°C oder darunter
$225 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$243 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$21 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$697 Vol.
32%
17°C
$1,084 Vol.
65%
18°C
$220 Vol.
7%
19°C
$105 Vol.
1%
20°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$136 Vol.
<1%
22°C oder höher
$45 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature of 16–17°C in Paris on August 30, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and light winds that limit radiative cooling overnight. Official guidance shows overnight lows near 15–17°C under mostly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation expected, consistent with the seasonal decline from mid-August warmth. Historical climatology places the average low at approximately 13.4°C, yet current conditions reflect a milder pattern without significant cold advection. Market-implied odds heavily favor 17°C or 16°C as the official daily minimum, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble consensus and limited downside risk from further cooling before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$2,796Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature of 16–17°C in Paris on August 30, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and light winds that limit radiative cooling overnight. Official guidance shows overnight lows near 15–17°C under mostly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation expected, consistent with the seasonal decline from mid-August warmth. Historical climatology places the average low at approximately 13.4°C, yet current conditions reflect a milder pattern without significant cold advection. Market-implied odds heavily favor 17°C or 16°C as the official daily minimum, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble consensus and limited downside risk from further cooling before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,796Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature of 16–17°C in Paris on August 30, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and light winds that limit radiative cooling overnight. Official guidance shows overnight lows near 15–17°C under mostly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation expected, consistent with the seasonal decline from mid-August warmth. Historical climatology places the average low at approximately 13.4°C, yet current conditions reflect a milder pattern without significant cold advection. Market-implied odds heavily favor 17°C or 16°C as the official daily minimum, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble consensus and limited downside risk from further cooling before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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