Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models converge on a daily maximum near 23°C for Paris on September 1, driven by moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and the seasonal transition toward cooler early-autumn conditions. This aligns with the market’s leading 43% implied probability for 23°C and secondary support for 22–24°C outcomes, while probabilities drop sharply above 25°C or below 21°C. Historical early-September averages hover around 24–26°C, yet current runs show slightly subdued highs consistent with recent Atlantic high-pressure influence and minimal warm-air advection. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these narrow ranges ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Paris am 1. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Paris am 1. September?
23°C 44%
22°C 25%
24°C 25%
21°C 17%
NEU
NEU
1. Sep. 2026
20°C or below
7%
21°C
17%
22°C
20%
23°C
44%
24°C
25%
25°C
8%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 44%
22°C 25%
24°C 25%
21°C 17%
NEU
NEU
1. Sep. 2026
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
7%
21°C
$0 Vol.
17%
22°C
$43 Vol.
20%
23°C
$206 Vol.
44%
24°C
$65 Vol.
25%
25°C
$22 Vol.
8%
26°C
$5 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models converge on a daily maximum near 23°C for Paris on September 1, driven by moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and the seasonal transition toward cooler early-autumn conditions. This aligns with the market’s leading 43% implied probability for 23°C and secondary support for 22–24°C outcomes, while probabilities drop sharply above 25°C or below 21°C. Historical early-September averages hover around 24–26°C, yet current runs show slightly subdued highs consistent with recent Atlantic high-pressure influence and minimal warm-air advection. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these narrow ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$339Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models converge on a daily maximum near 23°C for Paris on September 1, driven by moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and the seasonal transition toward cooler early-autumn conditions. This aligns with the market’s leading 43% implied probability for 23°C and secondary support for 22–24°C outcomes, while probabilities drop sharply above 25°C or below 21°C. Historical early-September averages hover around 24–26°C, yet current runs show slightly subdued highs consistent with recent Atlantic high-pressure influence and minimal warm-air advection. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these narrow ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$339Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models converge on a daily maximum near 23°C for Paris on September 1, driven by moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and the seasonal transition toward cooler early-autumn conditions. This aligns with the market’s leading 43% implied probability for 23°C and secondary support for 22–24°C outcomes, while probabilities drop sharply above 25°C or below 21°C. Historical early-September averages hover around 24–26°C, yet current runs show slightly subdued highs consistent with recent Atlantic high-pressure influence and minimal warm-air advection. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these narrow ranges ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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