Persistent southwest monsoon activity and widespread thunderstorms across Manila on September 3 are suppressing daytime heating through extensive cloud cover and heavy rainfall, limiting the daily maximum to around 29–30°C according to multiple forecast models. This aligns with typical rainy-season conditions where precipitation and high humidity reduce peak temperatures below the September climatological average of 31–32°C. Official guidance from PAGASA emphasizes scattered to widespread rains that further cap afternoon highs. Trader emphasis on 32°C as the leading outcome at 89% implied probability likely draws from long-term baselines rather than the latest model consensus pointing to slightly cooler readings, while probabilities for 33°C or higher remain minimal amid the wet pattern.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Manila am 3. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Manila am 3. September?
32°C 89%
33°C 11%
35°C oder höher <1%
34°C <1%
NEU
$23,108 Vol.
NEU
$23,108 Vol.
3. Sep. 2026
25°C oder darunter
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
89%
33°C
11%
34°C
<1%
35°C oder höher
<1%
32°C 89%
33°C 11%
35°C oder höher <1%
34°C <1%
NEU
$23,108 Vol.
NEU
$23,108 Vol.
3. Sep. 2026
25°C oder darunter
$215 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$542 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$414 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,085 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,196 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$5,548 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$5,229 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,297 Vol.
89%
33°C
$2,711 Vol.
11%
34°C
$962 Vol.
<1%
35°C oder höher
$909 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity and widespread thunderstorms across Manila on September 3 are suppressing daytime heating through extensive cloud cover and heavy rainfall, limiting the daily maximum to around 29–30°C according to multiple forecast models. This aligns with typical rainy-season conditions where precipitation and high humidity reduce peak temperatures below the September climatological average of 31–32°C. Official guidance from PAGASA emphasizes scattered to widespread rains that further cap afternoon highs. Trader emphasis on 32°C as the leading outcome at 89% implied probability likely draws from long-term baselines rather than the latest model consensus pointing to slightly cooler readings, while probabilities for 33°C or higher remain minimal amid the wet pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$23,108Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity and widespread thunderstorms across Manila on September 3 are suppressing daytime heating through extensive cloud cover and heavy rainfall, limiting the daily maximum to around 29–30°C according to multiple forecast models. This aligns with typical rainy-season conditions where precipitation and high humidity reduce peak temperatures below the September climatological average of 31–32°C. Official guidance from PAGASA emphasizes scattered to widespread rains that further cap afternoon highs. Trader emphasis on 32°C as the leading outcome at 89% implied probability likely draws from long-term baselines rather than the latest model consensus pointing to slightly cooler readings, while probabilities for 33°C or higher remain minimal amid the wet pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$23,108Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon activity and widespread thunderstorms across Manila on September 3 are suppressing daytime heating through extensive cloud cover and heavy rainfall, limiting the daily maximum to around 29–30°C according to multiple forecast models. This aligns with typical rainy-season conditions where precipitation and high humidity reduce peak temperatures below the September climatological average of 31–32°C. Official guidance from PAGASA emphasizes scattered to widespread rains that further cap afternoon highs. Trader emphasis on 32°C as the leading outcome at 89% implied probability likely draws from long-term baselines rather than the latest model consensus pointing to slightly cooler readings, while probabilities for 33°C or higher remain minimal amid the wet pattern.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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