Recent forecasts for Mexico City on September 4 indicate daytime highs near 26–27°C amid the rainy season, with afternoon convection, high humidity, and variable cloud cover expected to moderate peaks at the city's 2,240 m elevation. Multiple models show partly cloudy conditions with 30–70% storm chances, where earlier or heavier precipitation tends to cap temperatures through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling, while clearer intervals could allow brief warming toward 27°C. Historical September averages hover around 22–25°C, but current guidance from sources like the Met Office and ensemble runs supports the narrow 26–27°C clustering in market odds, reflecting traders' evaluation of model spread and typical diurnal ranges rather than extremes. Updated NHC or local meteorological briefings could refine these short-term projections.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 4. September?
26°C 46%
27°C 42%
24°C 8%
25°C 8%
19°C oder niedriger
4%
20°C
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
3%
24°C
8%
25°C
8%
26°C
46%
27°C
42%
28°C
7%
29°C oder höher
7%
26°C 46%
27°C 42%
24°C 8%
25°C 8%
19°C oder niedriger
4%
20°C
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
3%
24°C
8%
25°C
8%
26°C
46%
27°C
42%
28°C
7%
29°C oder höher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 2, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Mexico City on September 4 indicate daytime highs near 26–27°C amid the rainy season, with afternoon convection, high humidity, and variable cloud cover expected to moderate peaks at the city's 2,240 m elevation. Multiple models show partly cloudy conditions with 30–70% storm chances, where earlier or heavier precipitation tends to cap temperatures through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling, while clearer intervals could allow brief warming toward 27°C. Historical September averages hover around 22–25°C, but current guidance from sources like the Met Office and ensemble runs supports the narrow 26–27°C clustering in market odds, reflecting traders' evaluation of model spread and typical diurnal ranges rather than extremes. Updated NHC or local meteorological briefings could refine these short-term projections.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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