**Forecast consensus for September 2, 2026, centers on a Tokyo high of 30–32 °C, aligning closely with the market’s heaviest probabilities on 31 °C (47 %), 30 °C (23 %), and 32 °C (21.5 %).** Multiple numerical weather prediction runs and official guidance indicate southerly flow under partly cloudy skies will deliver afternoon maxima near 30–31 °C, with limited convective development keeping extreme outliers unlikely. High humidity (60–80 %) and light southerly winds support efficient daytime warming without rapid intensification, while residual moisture from the preceding pattern caps further heating. Model agreement remains tight because no strong frontal passage or typhoon influence is expected within the next 24–48 hours; steering patterns favor gradual moderation rather than sharp cooling or heat buildup. Historical early-September climatology for Tokyo shows average daily maxima around 29–30 °C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly consistent with the narrow 30–32 °C cluster. Updated model runs and JMA briefings through the evening of September 1 will provide the final confirmation traders are weighting most heavily.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tokio am 2. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Tokio am 2. September?
31°C 47%
30°C 23%
32°C 22%
29°C 6%
NEU
$27,772 Vol.
NEU
$27,772 Vol.
2. Sep. 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
23%
31°C
47%
32°C
22%
33°C
5%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 47%
30°C 23%
32°C 22%
29°C 6%
NEU
$27,772 Vol.
NEU
$27,772 Vol.
2. Sep. 2026
26°C or below
$2,574 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,609 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,561 Vol.
2%
29°C
$1,750 Vol.
6%
30°C
$4,252 Vol.
23%
31°C
$2,381 Vol.
47%
32°C
$3,537 Vol.
22%
33°C
$6,847 Vol.
5%
34°C
$1,839 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,470 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$468 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for September 2, 2026, centers on a Tokyo high of 30–32 °C, aligning closely with the market’s heaviest probabilities on 31 °C (47 %), 30 °C (23 %), and 32 °C (21.5 %).** Multiple numerical weather prediction runs and official guidance indicate southerly flow under partly cloudy skies will deliver afternoon maxima near 30–31 °C, with limited convective development keeping extreme outliers unlikely. High humidity (60–80 %) and light southerly winds support efficient daytime warming without rapid intensification, while residual moisture from the preceding pattern caps further heating.
Model agreement remains tight because no strong frontal passage or typhoon influence is expected within the next 24–48 hours; steering patterns favor gradual moderation rather than sharp cooling or heat buildup. Historical early-September climatology for Tokyo shows average daily maxima around 29–30 °C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly consistent with the narrow 30–32 °C cluster. Updated model runs and JMA briefings through the evening of September 1 will provide the final confirmation traders are weighting most heavily.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$27,772Enddatum
2. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for September 2, 2026, centers on a Tokyo high of 30–32 °C, aligning closely with the market’s heaviest probabilities on 31 °C (47 %), 30 °C (23 %), and 32 °C (21.5 %).** Multiple numerical weather prediction runs and official guidance indicate southerly flow under partly cloudy skies will deliver afternoon maxima near 30–31 °C, with limited convective development keeping extreme outliers unlikely. High humidity (60–80 %) and light southerly winds support efficient daytime warming without rapid intensification, while residual moisture from the preceding pattern caps further heating.
Model agreement remains tight because no strong frontal passage or typhoon influence is expected within the next 24–48 hours; steering patterns favor gradual moderation rather than sharp cooling or heat buildup. Historical early-September climatology for Tokyo shows average daily maxima around 29–30 °C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly consistent with the narrow 30–32 °C cluster. Updated model runs and JMA briefings through the evening of September 1 will provide the final confirmation traders are weighting most heavily.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$27,772Enddatum
2. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus for September 2, 2026, centers on a Tokyo high of 30–32 °C, aligning closely with the market’s heaviest probabilities on 31 °C (47 %), 30 °C (23 %), and 32 °C (21.5 %).** Multiple numerical weather prediction runs and official guidance indicate southerly flow under partly cloudy skies will deliver afternoon maxima near 30–31 °C, with limited convective development keeping extreme outliers unlikely. High humidity (60–80 %) and light southerly winds support efficient daytime warming without rapid intensification, while residual moisture from the preceding pattern caps further heating. Model agreement remains tight because no strong frontal passage or typhoon influence is expected within the next 24–48 hours; steering patterns favor gradual moderation rather than sharp cooling or heat buildup. Historical early-September climatology for Tokyo shows average daily maxima around 29–30 °C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly consistent with the narrow 30–32 °C cluster. Updated model runs and JMA briefings through the evening of September 1 will provide the final confirmation traders are weighting most heavily.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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