Skip to main content
icon for Höchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 2. September?

Höchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 2. September?

icon for Höchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 2. September?

Höchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 2. September?

Sep. 1

Sep. 2

Sep. 3

Sep. 1

Sep. 2

Sep. 3

29°C 34%

30°C 27%

28°C 20%

31°C 11%

Polymarket
NEU

29°C 34%

30°C 27%

28°C 20%

31°C 11%

Polymarket
NEU

24°C or below

$807 Vol.

<1%

25°C

$472 Vol.

<1%

26°C

$590 Vol.

<1%

27°C

$2,185 Vol.

1%

28°C

$2,707 Vol.

20%

29°C

$806 Vol.

34%

30°C

$415 Vol.

27%

31°C

$654 Vol.

11%

32°C

$521 Vol.

3%

33°C

$172 Vol.

1%

34°C or higher

$272 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 2 project a daily maximum between 26–31 °C under mainly cloudy skies with scattered squally showers, brief afternoon sunshine, and north-to-northwest winds of 4–5, occasionally 6, influenced by Tropical Cyclone Saudel and the northeast monsoon. These conditions create moderate uncertainty around peak heating, as cloud cover and precipitation suppress temperatures while limited solar breaks could allow brief rises toward 30–31 °C. Trader consensus, with 29 °C and 30 °C holding the highest implied probabilities, aligns with this range and model consensus from multiple sources showing highs near 28–31 °C. Additional HKO updates and real-time observations tomorrow will refine resolution criteria for the exact daily maximum.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$9,602
Enddatum
2. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 2 project a daily maximum between 26–31 °C under mainly cloudy skies with scattered squally showers, brief afternoon sunshine, and north-to-northwest winds of 4–5, occasionally 6, influenced by Tropical Cyclone Saudel and the northeast monsoon. These conditions create moderate uncertainty around peak heating, as cloud cover and precipitation suppress temperatures while limited solar breaks could allow brief rises toward 30–31 °C. Trader consensus, with 29 °C and 30 °C holding the highest implied probabilities, aligns with this range and model consensus from multiple sources showing highs near 28–31 °C. Additional HKO updates and real-time observations tomorrow will refine resolution criteria for the exact daily maximum.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$9,602
Enddatum
2. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Verwandte

icon for Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 1?

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 1?

94%
icon for Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 2?

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 2?

30%
icon for Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 3?

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 3?

31%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Höchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 2. September?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „29°C" mit 34%, gefolgt von „30°C" mit 27%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 34¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 34% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Höchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 2. September?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 31, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Höchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 2. September?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 11 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Höchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 2. September?" ist „29°C" mit 34%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 34% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „30°C" mit 27%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Höchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 2. September?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.