Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a daytime high near 30°C in Qingdao on September 3 under persistent clear skies and moderate northeast winds, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 29–31°C. Subtle differences among outcomes stem from variations in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, and any late-day sea-breeze effects that could nudge the maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September climatology for the region centers on 26–28°C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly from stable high pressure. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Qingdao am 3. September?
31°C 31%
30°C 30%
29°C 25%
32°C 25%
25°C oder weniger
3%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
23%
29°C
25%
30°C
30%
31°C
31%
32°C
25%
33°C
11%
34°C
8%
35°C oder höher
<1%
31°C 31%
30°C 30%
29°C 25%
32°C 25%
25°C oder weniger
3%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
23%
29°C
25%
30°C
30%
31°C
31%
32°C
25%
33°C
11%
34°C
8%
35°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a daytime high near 30°C in Qingdao on September 3 under persistent clear skies and moderate northeast winds, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 29–31°C. Subtle differences among outcomes stem from variations in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, and any late-day sea-breeze effects that could nudge the maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September climatology for the region centers on 26–28°C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly from stable high pressure. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen