Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models project a low of 20–21°C for Qingdao on September 3 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure, consistent with early-September climatology near the Yellow Sea coast. These conditions favor moderate nocturnal radiative cooling without significant cold advection, keeping minimums well above the market's leading 14°C-or-below bin. Trader consensus weighting cooler outcomes may reflect residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing or localized urban effects, though no recent observational shift supports a sharp drop. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble runs expected overnight will likely tighten probabilities around the 20–21°C range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Qingdao am 3. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Qingdao am 3. September?
23°C 49%
24°C oder höher 47%
14°C oder weniger 43%
17°C 28%
NEU
NEU
3. Sep. 2026
14°C oder weniger
43%
15°C
26%
16°C
27%
17°C
28%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C
2%
21°C
25%
22°C
25%
23°C
49%
24°C oder höher
47%
23°C 49%
24°C oder höher 47%
14°C oder weniger 43%
17°C 28%
NEU
NEU
3. Sep. 2026
14°C oder weniger
$5 Vol.
43%
15°C
$0 Vol.
26%
16°C
$0 Vol.
27%
17°C
$0 Vol.
28%
18°C
$0 Vol.
26%
19°C
$0 Vol.
26%
20°C
$4 Vol.
2%
21°C
$15 Vol.
25%
22°C
$15 Vol.
25%
23°C
$5 Vol.
49%
24°C oder höher
$5 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models project a low of 20–21°C for Qingdao on September 3 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure, consistent with early-September climatology near the Yellow Sea coast. These conditions favor moderate nocturnal radiative cooling without significant cold advection, keeping minimums well above the market's leading 14°C-or-below bin. Trader consensus weighting cooler outcomes may reflect residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing or localized urban effects, though no recent observational shift supports a sharp drop. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble runs expected overnight will likely tighten probabilities around the 20–21°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$49Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models project a low of 20–21°C for Qingdao on September 3 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure, consistent with early-September climatology near the Yellow Sea coast. These conditions favor moderate nocturnal radiative cooling without significant cold advection, keeping minimums well above the market's leading 14°C-or-below bin. Trader consensus weighting cooler outcomes may reflect residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing or localized urban effects, though no recent observational shift supports a sharp drop. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble runs expected overnight will likely tighten probabilities around the 20–21°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$49Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models project a low of 20–21°C for Qingdao on September 3 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure, consistent with early-September climatology near the Yellow Sea coast. These conditions favor moderate nocturnal radiative cooling without significant cold advection, keeping minimums well above the market's leading 14°C-or-below bin. Trader consensus weighting cooler outcomes may reflect residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing or localized urban effects, though no recent observational shift supports a sharp drop. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble runs expected overnight will likely tighten probabilities around the 20–21°C range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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