Recent forecasts from regional models indicate minimum temperatures in Panama City, Panama, will likely hold near 25–26°C overnight into September 3, driven by persistent high humidity, frequent cloud cover from showers, and light winds typical of the tropical wet season. These factors limit radiative cooling after sunset, keeping lows well above the 20°C threshold while preventing spikes that would push the daily minimum to 28°C or higher. Ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability, with any brief clear intervals offering limited potential for slightly lower readings around 24–25°C; traders appear to weigh this stable pattern against historical September averages near 24°C, resulting in closely matched probabilities across the 20–30°C range. Updated model runs tonight will refine land-sea breeze and precipitation timing ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Panama City am 3. September?
30°C oder höher 87%
20°C oder darunter 85%
21°C 50%
22°C 50%
20°C oder darunter
85%
21°C
50%
22°C
50%
23°C
26%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
28%
27°C
27%
28°C
26%
29°C
50%
30°C oder höher
87%
30°C oder höher 87%
20°C oder darunter 85%
21°C 50%
22°C 50%
20°C oder darunter
85%
21°C
50%
22°C
50%
23°C
26%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
28%
27°C
27%
28°C
26%
29°C
50%
30°C oder höher
87%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from regional models indicate minimum temperatures in Panama City, Panama, will likely hold near 25–26°C overnight into September 3, driven by persistent high humidity, frequent cloud cover from showers, and light winds typical of the tropical wet season. These factors limit radiative cooling after sunset, keeping lows well above the 20°C threshold while preventing spikes that would push the daily minimum to 28°C or higher. Ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability, with any brief clear intervals offering limited potential for slightly lower readings around 24–25°C; traders appear to weigh this stable pattern against historical September averages near 24°C, resulting in closely matched probabilities across the 20–30°C range. Updated model runs tonight will refine land-sea breeze and precipitation timing ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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