Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance indicates a moderating trend for Chicago on September 3 after consecutive days of low-90s readings driven by southwest flow and high dew points. Scattered thunderstorms and a possible weak frontal passage introduce the main uncertainty, with lake-breeze effects likely capping inland highs in the upper 80s while suppressing peaks near the shoreline. Historical climatology shows an 80°F average high for the date, yet the current pattern supports values several degrees above normal absent widespread convection. Ensemble spread in forecast maximum temperatures explains the tightly clustered market-implied odds across the 84–93°F bins, with resolution hinging on official observations at Chicago Midway or O’Hare.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chicago am 3. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Chicago am 3. September?
88-89°F 19%
86-87°F 18%
90-91°F 15%
84-85°F 14%
NEU
NEU
3. Sep. 2026
79°F oder niedriger
2%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
18%
88-89°F
19%
90-91°F
15%
92-93°F
10%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
4%
98°F oder höher
4%
88-89°F 19%
86-87°F 18%
90-91°F 15%
84-85°F 14%
NEU
NEU
3. Sep. 2026
79°F oder niedriger
$10 Vol.
2%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
4%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
4%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
14%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
18%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
19%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
15%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
10%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
4%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
4%
98°F oder höher
$10 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance indicates a moderating trend for Chicago on September 3 after consecutive days of low-90s readings driven by southwest flow and high dew points. Scattered thunderstorms and a possible weak frontal passage introduce the main uncertainty, with lake-breeze effects likely capping inland highs in the upper 80s while suppressing peaks near the shoreline. Historical climatology shows an 80°F average high for the date, yet the current pattern supports values several degrees above normal absent widespread convection. Ensemble spread in forecast maximum temperatures explains the tightly clustered market-implied odds across the 84–93°F bins, with resolution hinging on official observations at Chicago Midway or O’Hare.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 1, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volumen
$20Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance indicates a moderating trend for Chicago on September 3 after consecutive days of low-90s readings driven by southwest flow and high dew points. Scattered thunderstorms and a possible weak frontal passage introduce the main uncertainty, with lake-breeze effects likely capping inland highs in the upper 80s while suppressing peaks near the shoreline. Historical climatology shows an 80°F average high for the date, yet the current pattern supports values several degrees above normal absent widespread convection. Ensemble spread in forecast maximum temperatures explains the tightly clustered market-implied odds across the 84–93°F bins, with resolution hinging on official observations at Chicago Midway or O’Hare.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$20Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance indicates a moderating trend for Chicago on September 3 after consecutive days of low-90s readings driven by southwest flow and high dew points. Scattered thunderstorms and a possible weak frontal passage introduce the main uncertainty, with lake-breeze effects likely capping inland highs in the upper 80s while suppressing peaks near the shoreline. Historical climatology shows an 80°F average high for the date, yet the current pattern supports values several degrees above normal absent widespread convection. Ensemble spread in forecast maximum temperatures explains the tightly clustered market-implied odds across the 84–93°F bins, with resolution hinging on official observations at Chicago Midway or O’Hare.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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