Trader consensus shows high uncertainty in the Dallas minimum temperature forecast for September 3, with outcomes from 72–83°F each carrying 25–27% implied probability. Short-range models diverge on overnight radiative cooling rates under varying cloud cover, humidity, and light wind patterns, which can shift lows by several degrees. Early September climatology for north Texas features average minima near 72°F, but a weak frontal boundary or upper-level pattern changes introduce spread. National Weather Service updates and new model runs over the next 48 hours will provide clearer guidance on these variables ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Dallas am 3. September?
69°F oder darunter 49%
88°F oder höher 48%
78-79°F 30%
80-81°F 30%
69°F oder darunter
49%
21-22°C
20%
72-73°F
25%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
7%
88°F oder höher
48%
69°F oder darunter 49%
88°F oder höher 48%
78-79°F 30%
80-81°F 30%
69°F oder darunter
49%
21-22°C
20%
72-73°F
25%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
7%
88°F oder höher
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus shows high uncertainty in the Dallas minimum temperature forecast for September 3, with outcomes from 72–83°F each carrying 25–27% implied probability. Short-range models diverge on overnight radiative cooling rates under varying cloud cover, humidity, and light wind patterns, which can shift lows by several degrees. Early September climatology for north Texas features average minima near 72°F, but a weak frontal boundary or upper-level pattern changes introduce spread. National Weather Service updates and new model runs over the next 48 hours will provide clearer guidance on these variables ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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