Forecast models from sources including the Japan Meteorological Agency and international agencies indicate Tokyo's September 3 maximum will likely reach 30–32°C amid increasing southerly flow, high humidity near 70–80%, and scattered thunderstorms that develop in the afternoon. These conditions introduce evaporative cooling and cloud cover that typically limit peak readings below late-summer norms, while steering patterns and model consensus favor a narrow band around the early-September climatological average of ~30°C. Traders have concentrated probability on 30°C (34.5%) and 31°C (25%), reflecting the balance between residual warmth and the moderating effects of expected precipitation and reduced insolation. Updated runs from NOAA and JMA over the next 48 hours will refine the exact timing and intensity of storms, directly influencing resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tokio am 3. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Tokio am 3. September?
30°C 31%
31°C 26%
29°C 16%
32°C 13%
NEU
NEU
3. Sep. 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
7%
28°C
7%
29°C
16%
30°C
31%
31°C
26%
32°C
13%
33°C
3%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 31%
31°C 26%
29°C 16%
32°C 13%
NEU
NEU
3. Sep. 2026
25°C or below
$510 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
7%
28°C
$5 Vol.
7%
29°C
$0 Vol.
16%
30°C
$0 Vol.
31%
31°C
$5 Vol.
26%
32°C
$2 Vol.
13%
33°C
$0 Vol.
3%
34°C
$0 Vol.
3%
35°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Japan Meteorological Agency and international agencies indicate Tokyo's September 3 maximum will likely reach 30–32°C amid increasing southerly flow, high humidity near 70–80%, and scattered thunderstorms that develop in the afternoon. These conditions introduce evaporative cooling and cloud cover that typically limit peak readings below late-summer norms, while steering patterns and model consensus favor a narrow band around the early-September climatological average of ~30°C. Traders have concentrated probability on 30°C (34.5%) and 31°C (25%), reflecting the balance between residual warmth and the moderating effects of expected precipitation and reduced insolation. Updated runs from NOAA and JMA over the next 48 hours will refine the exact timing and intensity of storms, directly influencing resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$527Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Japan Meteorological Agency and international agencies indicate Tokyo's September 3 maximum will likely reach 30–32°C amid increasing southerly flow, high humidity near 70–80%, and scattered thunderstorms that develop in the afternoon. These conditions introduce evaporative cooling and cloud cover that typically limit peak readings below late-summer norms, while steering patterns and model consensus favor a narrow band around the early-September climatological average of ~30°C. Traders have concentrated probability on 30°C (34.5%) and 31°C (25%), reflecting the balance between residual warmth and the moderating effects of expected precipitation and reduced insolation. Updated runs from NOAA and JMA over the next 48 hours will refine the exact timing and intensity of storms, directly influencing resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$527Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Japan Meteorological Agency and international agencies indicate Tokyo's September 3 maximum will likely reach 30–32°C amid increasing southerly flow, high humidity near 70–80%, and scattered thunderstorms that develop in the afternoon. These conditions introduce evaporative cooling and cloud cover that typically limit peak readings below late-summer norms, while steering patterns and model consensus favor a narrow band around the early-September climatological average of ~30°C. Traders have concentrated probability on 30°C (34.5%) and 31°C (25%), reflecting the balance between residual warmth and the moderating effects of expected precipitation and reduced insolation. Updated runs from NOAA and JMA over the next 48 hours will refine the exact timing and intensity of storms, directly influencing resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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