Recent European model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs positions Amsterdam's September 3 maximum near 21–22°C under a mild southwesterly Atlantic flow with increasing cloud cover and light rain chances, slightly above the 20.6°C climatological average high. These conditions, driven by moderate westerly winds and high humidity limiting daytime heating, underpin trader emphasis on 22°C and 23°C outcomes. Ensemble spreads highlight remaining uncertainty from variable cloud timing and precipitation intensity, which could nudge readings a degree higher or lower depending on the exact steering pattern. Updated guidance ahead of the event will refine resolution probabilities as the 48-hour window narrows.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 3. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 3. September?
22°C 49%
23°C 38%
21°C 11%
20°C 3%
NEU
NEU
3. Sep. 2026
15°C oder niedriger
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
11%
22°C
49%
23°C
38%
24°C
3%
25°C oder höher
2%
22°C 49%
23°C 38%
21°C 11%
20°C 3%
NEU
NEU
3. Sep. 2026
15°C oder niedriger
$255 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$247 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$192 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$107 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$107 Vol.
2%
20°C
$95 Vol.
3%
21°C
$91 Vol.
11%
22°C
$275 Vol.
49%
23°C
$607 Vol.
38%
24°C
$29 Vol.
3%
25°C oder höher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs positions Amsterdam's September 3 maximum near 21–22°C under a mild southwesterly Atlantic flow with increasing cloud cover and light rain chances, slightly above the 20.6°C climatological average high. These conditions, driven by moderate westerly winds and high humidity limiting daytime heating, underpin trader emphasis on 22°C and 23°C outcomes. Ensemble spreads highlight remaining uncertainty from variable cloud timing and precipitation intensity, which could nudge readings a degree higher or lower depending on the exact steering pattern. Updated guidance ahead of the event will refine resolution probabilities as the 48-hour window narrows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$2,011Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs positions Amsterdam's September 3 maximum near 21–22°C under a mild southwesterly Atlantic flow with increasing cloud cover and light rain chances, slightly above the 20.6°C climatological average high. These conditions, driven by moderate westerly winds and high humidity limiting daytime heating, underpin trader emphasis on 22°C and 23°C outcomes. Ensemble spreads highlight remaining uncertainty from variable cloud timing and precipitation intensity, which could nudge readings a degree higher or lower depending on the exact steering pattern. Updated guidance ahead of the event will refine resolution probabilities as the 48-hour window narrows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,011Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent European model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs positions Amsterdam's September 3 maximum near 21–22°C under a mild southwesterly Atlantic flow with increasing cloud cover and light rain chances, slightly above the 20.6°C climatological average high. These conditions, driven by moderate westerly winds and high humidity limiting daytime heating, underpin trader emphasis on 22°C and 23°C outcomes. Ensemble spreads highlight remaining uncertainty from variable cloud timing and precipitation intensity, which could nudge readings a degree higher or lower depending on the exact steering pattern. Updated guidance ahead of the event will refine resolution probabilities as the 48-hour window narrows.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen