Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts reveal notable ensemble spread for Amsterdam's September 3 overnight low, sustaining close market-implied odds across the mid-teens to low twenties Celsius. An evolving Atlantic trough and variable cloud cover are key drivers, modulating radiational cooling rates and the advection of cooler maritime air masses versus residual warmer continental flow. Recent high-pressure persistence has supported milder baselines, yet shifting wind patterns and potential frontal timing introduce divergence between deterministic runs and probabilistic outputs. Traders monitor updated model guidance and KNMI observations closely, as small changes in boundary-layer conditions can shift the minimum across resolution thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 3. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 3. September?
22°C or higher 69%
17°C 27%
16°C 26%
18°C 26%
NEU
NEU
3. Sep. 2026
12°C or below
15%
13°C
9%
14°C
12%
15°C
17%
16°C
26%
17°C
27%
18°C
26%
19°C
12%
20°C
20%
21°C
4%
22°C or higher
69%
22°C or higher 69%
17°C 27%
16°C 26%
18°C 26%
NEU
NEU
3. Sep. 2026
12°C or below
$5 Vol.
15%
13°C
$4 Vol.
9%
14°C
$0 Vol.
12%
15°C
$0 Vol.
17%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
27%
18°C
$0 Vol.
26%
19°C
$0 Vol.
12%
20°C
$5 Vol.
20%
21°C
$5 Vol.
4%
22°C or higher
$5 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts reveal notable ensemble spread for Amsterdam's September 3 overnight low, sustaining close market-implied odds across the mid-teens to low twenties Celsius. An evolving Atlantic trough and variable cloud cover are key drivers, modulating radiational cooling rates and the advection of cooler maritime air masses versus residual warmer continental flow. Recent high-pressure persistence has supported milder baselines, yet shifting wind patterns and potential frontal timing introduce divergence between deterministic runs and probabilistic outputs. Traders monitor updated model guidance and KNMI observations closely, as small changes in boundary-layer conditions can shift the minimum across resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$24Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts reveal notable ensemble spread for Amsterdam's September 3 overnight low, sustaining close market-implied odds across the mid-teens to low twenties Celsius. An evolving Atlantic trough and variable cloud cover are key drivers, modulating radiational cooling rates and the advection of cooler maritime air masses versus residual warmer continental flow. Recent high-pressure persistence has supported milder baselines, yet shifting wind patterns and potential frontal timing introduce divergence between deterministic runs and probabilistic outputs. Traders monitor updated model guidance and KNMI observations closely, as small changes in boundary-layer conditions can shift the minimum across resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$24Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts reveal notable ensemble spread for Amsterdam's September 3 overnight low, sustaining close market-implied odds across the mid-teens to low twenties Celsius. An evolving Atlantic trough and variable cloud cover are key drivers, modulating radiational cooling rates and the advection of cooler maritime air masses versus residual warmer continental flow. Recent high-pressure persistence has supported milder baselines, yet shifting wind patterns and potential frontal timing introduce divergence between deterministic runs and probabilistic outputs. Traders monitor updated model guidance and KNMI observations closely, as small changes in boundary-layer conditions can shift the minimum across resolution thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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