Trader consensus shows notable uncertainty in short-term forecasts for Amsterdam's September 2 minimum, with the highest implied probability on 19°C or higher yet closely trailed by 13–15°C options near 26%. This spread arises from ensemble model variability, particularly in ECMWF and GFS runs, where subtle differences in Atlantic high-pressure positioning, cloud cover, and nocturnal radiative cooling could shift the low by several degrees. Warmer advection from southerly flows competes with clearer skies that enhance surface heat loss, while seasonal baselines for early September place typical lows near 12–14°C. Fresh model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours are likely to tighten these ranges ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 2. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 2. September?
19°C or higher 69%
14°C 27%
15°C 27%
13°C 26%
NEU
NEU
2. Sep. 2026
9°C or below
6%
10°C
10%
11°C
11%
12°C
21%
13°C
26%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
25%
17°C
20%
18°C
20%
19°C or higher
69%
19°C or higher 69%
14°C 27%
15°C 27%
13°C 26%
NEU
NEU
2. Sep. 2026
9°C or below
$5 Vol.
6%
10°C
$63 Vol.
10%
11°C
$0 Vol.
11%
12°C
$0 Vol.
21%
13°C
$0 Vol.
26%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
27%
16°C
$0 Vol.
25%
17°C
$20 Vol.
20%
18°C
$5 Vol.
20%
19°C or higher
$5 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus shows notable uncertainty in short-term forecasts for Amsterdam's September 2 minimum, with the highest implied probability on 19°C or higher yet closely trailed by 13–15°C options near 26%. This spread arises from ensemble model variability, particularly in ECMWF and GFS runs, where subtle differences in Atlantic high-pressure positioning, cloud cover, and nocturnal radiative cooling could shift the low by several degrees. Warmer advection from southerly flows competes with clearer skies that enhance surface heat loss, while seasonal baselines for early September place typical lows near 12–14°C. Fresh model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours are likely to tighten these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$98Enddatum
2. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus shows notable uncertainty in short-term forecasts for Amsterdam's September 2 minimum, with the highest implied probability on 19°C or higher yet closely trailed by 13–15°C options near 26%. This spread arises from ensemble model variability, particularly in ECMWF and GFS runs, where subtle differences in Atlantic high-pressure positioning, cloud cover, and nocturnal radiative cooling could shift the low by several degrees. Warmer advection from southerly flows competes with clearer skies that enhance surface heat loss, while seasonal baselines for early September place typical lows near 12–14°C. Fresh model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours are likely to tighten these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$98Enddatum
2. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus shows notable uncertainty in short-term forecasts for Amsterdam's September 2 minimum, with the highest implied probability on 19°C or higher yet closely trailed by 13–15°C options near 26%. This spread arises from ensemble model variability, particularly in ECMWF and GFS runs, where subtle differences in Atlantic high-pressure positioning, cloud cover, and nocturnal radiative cooling could shift the low by several degrees. Warmer advection from southerly flows competes with clearer skies that enhance surface heat loss, while seasonal baselines for early September place typical lows near 12–14°C. Fresh model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours are likely to tighten these ranges ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen