Recent forecasts for Mexico City on September 4 indicate an overnight low near 13–14°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers possible, aligning closely with the September climatological average of 10–12°C at the city's 2,240 m elevation. Trader balance between 17°C+ and 7°C-or-below outcomes stems from uncertainty in nocturnal radiational cooling: clear periods allow efficient longwave heat loss and sharper drops, while increased cloud cover or rainfall moderates minima by trapping infrared radiation. Model consensus remains tight around 13–14°C, but any shift in evening convection or humidity could tip the recorded low by several degrees before official verification.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 4. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 4. September?
17°C oder höher 73%
7°C oder weniger 72%
8°C 49%
13°C 28%
NEU
NEU
4. Sep. 2026
7°C oder weniger
72%
8°C
49%
9°C
18%
10°C
2%
11°C
19%
12°C
27%
13°C
28%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
26%
17°C oder höher
73%
17°C oder höher 73%
7°C oder weniger 72%
8°C 49%
13°C 28%
NEU
NEU
4. Sep. 2026
7°C oder weniger
$122 Vol.
72%
8°C
$62 Vol.
49%
9°C
$23 Vol.
18%
10°C
$143 Vol.
2%
11°C
$12 Vol.
19%
12°C
$0 Vol.
27%
13°C
$0 Vol.
28%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$5 Vol.
27%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C oder höher
$72 Vol.
73%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Mexico City on September 4 indicate an overnight low near 13–14°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers possible, aligning closely with the September climatological average of 10–12°C at the city's 2,240 m elevation. Trader balance between 17°C+ and 7°C-or-below outcomes stems from uncertainty in nocturnal radiational cooling: clear periods allow efficient longwave heat loss and sharper drops, while increased cloud cover or rainfall moderates minima by trapping infrared radiation. Model consensus remains tight around 13–14°C, but any shift in evening convection or humidity could tip the recorded low by several degrees before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volumen
$438Enddatum
4. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Mexico City on September 4 indicate an overnight low near 13–14°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers possible, aligning closely with the September climatological average of 10–12°C at the city's 2,240 m elevation. Trader balance between 17°C+ and 7°C-or-below outcomes stems from uncertainty in nocturnal radiational cooling: clear periods allow efficient longwave heat loss and sharper drops, while increased cloud cover or rainfall moderates minima by trapping infrared radiation. Model consensus remains tight around 13–14°C, but any shift in evening convection or humidity could tip the recorded low by several degrees before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$438Enddatum
4. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Mexico City on September 4 indicate an overnight low near 13–14°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers possible, aligning closely with the September climatological average of 10–12°C at the city's 2,240 m elevation. Trader balance between 17°C+ and 7°C-or-below outcomes stems from uncertainty in nocturnal radiational cooling: clear periods allow efficient longwave heat loss and sharper drops, while increased cloud cover or rainfall moderates minima by trapping infrared radiation. Model consensus remains tight around 13–14°C, but any shift in evening convection or humidity could tip the recorded low by several degrees before official verification.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen