**Recent forecast models from sources including Worldmeteo, Yr.no, and WeatherBug indicate minimum temperatures in Mexico City on September 5 around 12–15°C, driven by typical late-summer conditions at the city's 2,240-meter elevation during the rainy season.** Cloud cover and scattered showers expected that day— with precipitation probabilities ranging 0–60%—limit nocturnal radiative cooling and support overnight lows near 13–14°C, consistent with historical September averages of roughly 10–13°C. No strong cold fronts or anomalous high-pressure systems are projected to push readings notably lower or sustain them above 16°C. Traders appear to weigh model consensus on mild, moist conditions against residual uncertainty in exact clearing times and wind patterns, positioning 17°C or higher as the market leader while assigning meaningful probability to the 13–14°C range. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 5. September?
17°C oder höher 97%
7°C oder weniger 59%
8°C 50%
9°C 50%
7°C oder weniger
59%
8°C
50%
9°C
50%
10°C
50%
11°C
50%
12°C
50%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
50%
16°C
50%
17°C oder höher
97%
17°C oder höher 97%
7°C oder weniger 59%
8°C 50%
9°C 50%
7°C oder weniger
59%
8°C
50%
9°C
50%
10°C
50%
11°C
50%
12°C
50%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
50%
16°C
50%
17°C oder höher
97%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecast models from sources including Worldmeteo, Yr.no, and WeatherBug indicate minimum temperatures in Mexico City on September 5 around 12–15°C, driven by typical late-summer conditions at the city's 2,240-meter elevation during the rainy season.** Cloud cover and scattered showers expected that day— with precipitation probabilities ranging 0–60%—limit nocturnal radiative cooling and support overnight lows near 13–14°C, consistent with historical September averages of roughly 10–13°C. No strong cold fronts or anomalous high-pressure systems are projected to push readings notably lower or sustain them above 16°C. Traders appear to weigh model consensus on mild, moist conditions against residual uncertainty in exact clearing times and wind patterns, positioning 17°C or higher as the market leader while assigning meaningful probability to the 13–14°C range. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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