A cold front advancing into São Paulo on September 5 is the dominant driver behind market-implied odds clustering around 21–23°C. Official forecasts from multiple models show this front delivering widespread cloud cover, showers, and advection of cooler polar air, which caps daytime heating after warmer, sunnier conditions on the 3rd and 4th. Key variables differentiating the narrow range include the precise timing of frontal passage, rainfall intensity and duration (enhancing evaporative cooling), and any temporary breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming. Historical September averages near 25°C provide context, but the atypical early-September frontal incursion creates genuine uncertainty reflected in the tight spread between leading outcomes. Updated model runs and monitoring agency briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 5. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 5. September?
21°C 25%
22°C 25%
23°C 13%
20°C 12%
NEU
NEU
5. Sep. 2026
18°C oder niedriger
5%
19°C
4%
20°C
12%
21°C
25%
22°C
25%
23°C
13%
24°C
11%
25°C
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
5%
28°C oder höher
5%
21°C 25%
22°C 25%
23°C 13%
20°C 12%
NEU
NEU
5. Sep. 2026
18°C oder niedriger
$0 Vol.
5%
19°C
$0 Vol.
4%
20°C
$67 Vol.
12%
21°C
$37 Vol.
25%
22°C
$52 Vol.
25%
23°C
$20 Vol.
13%
24°C
$20 Vol.
11%
25°C
$60 Vol.
3%
26°C
$0 Vol.
6%
27°C
$0 Vol.
5%
28°C oder höher
$65 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front advancing into São Paulo on September 5 is the dominant driver behind market-implied odds clustering around 21–23°C. Official forecasts from multiple models show this front delivering widespread cloud cover, showers, and advection of cooler polar air, which caps daytime heating after warmer, sunnier conditions on the 3rd and 4th. Key variables differentiating the narrow range include the precise timing of frontal passage, rainfall intensity and duration (enhancing evaporative cooling), and any temporary breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming. Historical September averages near 25°C provide context, but the atypical early-September frontal incursion creates genuine uncertainty reflected in the tight spread between leading outcomes. Updated model runs and monitoring agency briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 3, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volumen
$322Enddatum
5. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 3, 2026, 8:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front advancing into São Paulo on September 5 is the dominant driver behind market-implied odds clustering around 21–23°C. Official forecasts from multiple models show this front delivering widespread cloud cover, showers, and advection of cooler polar air, which caps daytime heating after warmer, sunnier conditions on the 3rd and 4th. Key variables differentiating the narrow range include the precise timing of frontal passage, rainfall intensity and duration (enhancing evaporative cooling), and any temporary breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming. Historical September averages near 25°C provide context, but the atypical early-September frontal incursion creates genuine uncertainty reflected in the tight spread between leading outcomes. Updated model runs and monitoring agency briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$322Enddatum
5. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 3, 2026, 8:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...A cold front advancing into São Paulo on September 5 is the dominant driver behind market-implied odds clustering around 21–23°C. Official forecasts from multiple models show this front delivering widespread cloud cover, showers, and advection of cooler polar air, which caps daytime heating after warmer, sunnier conditions on the 3rd and 4th. Key variables differentiating the narrow range include the precise timing of frontal passage, rainfall intensity and duration (enhancing evaporative cooling), and any temporary breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming. Historical September averages near 25°C provide context, but the atypical early-September frontal incursion creates genuine uncertainty reflected in the tight spread between leading outcomes. Updated model runs and monitoring agency briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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