Current Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a daytime maximum near 25°C in London on September 3 under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly flow advecting mild Atlantic air. Hourly profiles show the peak likely occurring mid-afternoon, with cloud cover and any light showers modulating surface heating and limiting radiative warming. Minor forecast differences arise from variations in boundary-layer moisture, timing of any weak frontal features, and model resolution of convective elements, which can shift the exact high by 1°C. Trader consensus around 24–25°C reflects this narrow uncertainty range two days ahead, consistent with typical early-September climatology where maxima average near 20–22°C but recent mild conditions support higher values. Updated model runs and official briefings will refine resolution criteria as the date approaches.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in London am 3. September?
Höchste Temperatur in London am 3. September?
25°C 35%
24°C 28%
26°C 18%
23°C 9%
NEU
NEU
3. Sep. 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
9%
24°C
28%
25°C
35%
26°C
18%
27°C
6%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 35%
24°C 28%
26°C 18%
23°C 9%
NEU
NEU
3. Sep. 2026
19°C or below
$65 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$139 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$155 Vol.
2%
22°C
$88 Vol.
4%
23°C
$697 Vol.
9%
24°C
$477 Vol.
28%
25°C
$973 Vol.
35%
26°C
$453 Vol.
18%
27°C
$155 Vol.
6%
28°C
$21 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$83 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a daytime maximum near 25°C in London on September 3 under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly flow advecting mild Atlantic air. Hourly profiles show the peak likely occurring mid-afternoon, with cloud cover and any light showers modulating surface heating and limiting radiative warming. Minor forecast differences arise from variations in boundary-layer moisture, timing of any weak frontal features, and model resolution of convective elements, which can shift the exact high by 1°C. Trader consensus around 24–25°C reflects this narrow uncertainty range two days ahead, consistent with typical early-September climatology where maxima average near 20–22°C but recent mild conditions support higher values. Updated model runs and official briefings will refine resolution criteria as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$3,306Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a daytime maximum near 25°C in London on September 3 under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly flow advecting mild Atlantic air. Hourly profiles show the peak likely occurring mid-afternoon, with cloud cover and any light showers modulating surface heating and limiting radiative warming. Minor forecast differences arise from variations in boundary-layer moisture, timing of any weak frontal features, and model resolution of convective elements, which can shift the exact high by 1°C. Trader consensus around 24–25°C reflects this narrow uncertainty range two days ahead, consistent with typical early-September climatology where maxima average near 20–22°C but recent mild conditions support higher values. Updated model runs and official briefings will refine resolution criteria as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,306Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a daytime maximum near 25°C in London on September 3 under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly flow advecting mild Atlantic air. Hourly profiles show the peak likely occurring mid-afternoon, with cloud cover and any light showers modulating surface heating and limiting radiative warming. Minor forecast differences arise from variations in boundary-layer moisture, timing of any weak frontal features, and model resolution of convective elements, which can shift the exact high by 1°C. Trader consensus around 24–25°C reflects this narrow uncertainty range two days ahead, consistent with typical early-September climatology where maxima average near 20–22°C but recent mild conditions support higher values. Updated model runs and official briefings will refine resolution criteria as the date approaches.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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