**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models points to a Friday night low in the mid-60s for Los Angeles, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 66-67°F (48%) and 64-65°F (33.5%).** Typical early-September conditions feature a persistent marine layer and onshore southwest flow that moderates coastal temperatures through nocturnal cloud cover and fog, keeping overnight lows near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 64.5°F. Recent observations at Los Angeles International Airport show September 1–2 lows of 66°F and 64–65°F, with no incoming cold advection or heat ridge to shift the pattern. The approaching Tropical Storm Marie remains well offshore and primarily influences surf rather than local thermodynamics. This stable setup produces low probability for extremes below 60°F or above 70°F, as reflected in the thinner tails of the market distribution. Updated NWS model runs and morning marine-layer forecasts on September 3 will be the next key inputs for traders.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Los Angeles am 4. September?
55°F oder weniger 65%
74°F oder höher 63%
64-65°F 50%
66-67°F 48%
55°F oder weniger
65%
56-57°F
19%
58-59°F
41%
60-61°F
20%
62-63°F
21%
64-65°F
34%
66-67°F
48%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
9%
72-73°F
15%
74°F oder höher
63%
55°F oder weniger 65%
74°F oder höher 63%
64-65°F 50%
66-67°F 48%
55°F oder weniger
65%
56-57°F
19%
58-59°F
41%
60-61°F
20%
62-63°F
21%
64-65°F
34%
66-67°F
48%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
9%
72-73°F
15%
74°F oder höher
63%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 2, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models points to a Friday night low in the mid-60s for Los Angeles, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 66-67°F (48%) and 64-65°F (33.5%).** Typical early-September conditions feature a persistent marine layer and onshore southwest flow that moderates coastal temperatures through nocturnal cloud cover and fog, keeping overnight lows near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 64.5°F. Recent observations at Los Angeles International Airport show September 1–2 lows of 66°F and 64–65°F, with no incoming cold advection or heat ridge to shift the pattern. The approaching Tropical Storm Marie remains well offshore and primarily influences surf rather than local thermodynamics. This stable setup produces low probability for extremes below 60°F or above 70°F, as reflected in the thinner tails of the market distribution. Updated NWS model runs and morning marine-layer forecasts on September 3 will be the next key inputs for traders.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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