**Forecast models for São Paulo on September 4 show the overnight low likely settling in the mid-teens Celsius amid a transitional pattern.** A strong high-pressure system currently supports clear to partly cloudy skies and mild conditions, with recent observations and short-range guidance placing the minimum around 15–18°C. However, an approaching cold front from the south (influencing southern Brazil) introduces uncertainty in steering winds and boundary-layer cooling, allowing some ensemble members to dip toward 13°C or lower while others hold near or above 18°C. This spread in dynamical and statistical guidance—particularly regarding the timing and strength of southerly flow and any associated cloud cover or showers—explains the near-even market split between the coldest and warmest bins. Updated runs from INMET, ECMWF, and GFS overnight will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 4. September?
23°C oder höher 70%
19°C 47%
21°C 47%
22°C 47%
13°C oder darunter
30%
14°C
27%
15°C
33%
16°C
34%
17°C
27%
18°C
16%
19°C
47%
20°C
46%
21°C
47%
22°C
47%
23°C oder höher
70%
23°C oder höher 70%
19°C 47%
21°C 47%
22°C 47%
13°C oder darunter
30%
14°C
27%
15°C
33%
16°C
34%
17°C
27%
18°C
16%
19°C
47%
20°C
46%
21°C
47%
22°C
47%
23°C oder höher
70%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 2, 2026, 8:28 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for São Paulo on September 4 show the overnight low likely settling in the mid-teens Celsius amid a transitional pattern.** A strong high-pressure system currently supports clear to partly cloudy skies and mild conditions, with recent observations and short-range guidance placing the minimum around 15–18°C. However, an approaching cold front from the south (influencing southern Brazil) introduces uncertainty in steering winds and boundary-layer cooling, allowing some ensemble members to dip toward 13°C or lower while others hold near or above 18°C. This spread in dynamical and statistical guidance—particularly regarding the timing and strength of southerly flow and any associated cloud cover or showers—explains the near-even market split between the coldest and warmest bins. Updated runs from INMET, ECMWF, and GFS overnight will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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