Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles currently project an overnight low in the upper 60s to low 70s for Chicago on September 5, driven by northeast winds off Lake Michigan that limit radiational cooling while keeping daytime highs in the upper 70s to mid-80s. Persistent humidity and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty in the exact minimum, as clearer skies could allow deeper cooling toward 65°F or below while thicker clouds or lingering showers would hold readings higher. This spread explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds across 65–79°F bins, reflecting trader assessment of model spread and typical early-September variability against a warmer-than-average baseline. Updated model runs and NWS forecasts over the next 24 hours will likely sharpen the range before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Chicago am 5. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Chicago am 5. September?
18°C oder niedriger 69%
84°F oder höher 59%
66-67°F 49%
76-77°F 49%
NEU
NEU
5. Sep. 2026
18°C oder niedriger
69%
66-67°F
49%
68-69 °F
27%
70-71°F
27%
72–73°F
27%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
49%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
8%
84°F oder höher
59%
18°C oder niedriger 69%
84°F oder höher 59%
66-67°F 49%
76-77°F 49%
NEU
NEU
5. Sep. 2026
18°C oder niedriger
$0 Vol.
69%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
49%
68-69 °F
$0 Vol.
27%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
27%
72–73°F
$0 Vol.
27%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
27%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
49%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
8%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
8%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
8%
84°F oder höher
$0 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles currently project an overnight low in the upper 60s to low 70s for Chicago on September 5, driven by northeast winds off Lake Michigan that limit radiational cooling while keeping daytime highs in the upper 70s to mid-80s. Persistent humidity and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty in the exact minimum, as clearer skies could allow deeper cooling toward 65°F or below while thicker clouds or lingering showers would hold readings higher. This spread explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds across 65–79°F bins, reflecting trader assessment of model spread and typical early-September variability against a warmer-than-average baseline. Updated model runs and NWS forecasts over the next 24 hours will likely sharpen the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
5. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles currently project an overnight low in the upper 60s to low 70s for Chicago on September 5, driven by northeast winds off Lake Michigan that limit radiational cooling while keeping daytime highs in the upper 70s to mid-80s. Persistent humidity and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty in the exact minimum, as clearer skies could allow deeper cooling toward 65°F or below while thicker clouds or lingering showers would hold readings higher. This spread explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds across 65–79°F bins, reflecting trader assessment of model spread and typical early-September variability against a warmer-than-average baseline. Updated model runs and NWS forecasts over the next 24 hours will likely sharpen the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
5. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles currently project an overnight low in the upper 60s to low 70s for Chicago on September 5, driven by northeast winds off Lake Michigan that limit radiational cooling while keeping daytime highs in the upper 70s to mid-80s. Persistent humidity and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty in the exact minimum, as clearer skies could allow deeper cooling toward 65°F or below while thicker clouds or lingering showers would hold readings higher. This spread explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds across 65–79°F bins, reflecting trader assessment of model spread and typical early-September variability against a warmer-than-average baseline. Updated model runs and NWS forecasts over the next 24 hours will likely sharpen the range before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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