Current forecast models from multiple sources point to a September 2 high near 36–37°C in Jeddah, supporting the tight market split between the 37°C and 38°C outcomes. Northwest winds off the Red Sea are expected to moderate peak readings through marine air advection, while clear skies and typical early-September insolation maintain strong daytime heating near the historical average maximum of around 38°C. Low precipitation risk and stable pressure patterns limit variability, though small differences in model handling of sea-breeze timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the final maximum by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh these near-term dynamical factors against climatological baselines, with implied probabilities reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty this close to resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Dschidda am 2. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Dschidda am 2. September?
38°C 37%
37°C 32%
39°C 17%
36°C 13%
NEU
NEU
2. Sep. 2026
30°C oder darunter
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
3%
35°C
5%
36°C
13%
37°C
32%
38°C
37%
39°C
17%
40°C oder mehr
7%
38°C 37%
37°C 32%
39°C 17%
36°C 13%
NEU
NEU
2. Sep. 2026
30°C oder darunter
$334 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$326 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$326 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$164 Vol.
1%
34°C
$166 Vol.
3%
35°C
$19 Vol.
5%
36°C
$39 Vol.
13%
37°C
$100 Vol.
32%
38°C
$94 Vol.
37%
39°C
$193 Vol.
17%
40°C oder mehr
$21 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from multiple sources point to a September 2 high near 36–37°C in Jeddah, supporting the tight market split between the 37°C and 38°C outcomes. Northwest winds off the Red Sea are expected to moderate peak readings through marine air advection, while clear skies and typical early-September insolation maintain strong daytime heating near the historical average maximum of around 38°C. Low precipitation risk and stable pressure patterns limit variability, though small differences in model handling of sea-breeze timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the final maximum by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh these near-term dynamical factors against climatological baselines, with implied probabilities reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty this close to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$1,784Enddatum
2. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from multiple sources point to a September 2 high near 36–37°C in Jeddah, supporting the tight market split between the 37°C and 38°C outcomes. Northwest winds off the Red Sea are expected to moderate peak readings through marine air advection, while clear skies and typical early-September insolation maintain strong daytime heating near the historical average maximum of around 38°C. Low precipitation risk and stable pressure patterns limit variability, though small differences in model handling of sea-breeze timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the final maximum by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh these near-term dynamical factors against climatological baselines, with implied probabilities reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty this close to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,784Enddatum
2. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from multiple sources point to a September 2 high near 36–37°C in Jeddah, supporting the tight market split between the 37°C and 38°C outcomes. Northwest winds off the Red Sea are expected to moderate peak readings through marine air advection, while clear skies and typical early-September insolation maintain strong daytime heating near the historical average maximum of around 38°C. Low precipitation risk and stable pressure patterns limit variability, though small differences in model handling of sea-breeze timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the final maximum by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh these near-term dynamical factors against climatological baselines, with implied probabilities reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty this close to resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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