Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on September 6, 2026, project daytime highs of 96–97°F at key sites like Austin-Bergstrom and Camp Mabry, with partly cloudy skies, southeast winds near 5 mph, and a 30–40% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. This range aligns with the market’s tightest clustering around 94–97°F, as traders weigh model consensus against potential convective cooling from storms or increased cloud cover that could suppress peak readings. Recent early-September observations showed highs near 100–101°F, but a modest cooling trend and higher humidity (dew points in the mid-70s) have shifted expectations toward the mid-90s. Heat-index values may still reach 105–109°F, yet resolution hinges on whether observed maxima at official stations exceed 95°F amid variable afternoon convection. Updated NWS guidance and real-time observations will refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Austin am 6. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 6. September?
96-97°F 34%
94-95°F 30%
98-99°F 16%
92-93°F 15%
$19,514 Vol.
$19,514 Vol.
6. Sep. 2026
85°F oder darunter
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
15%
94-95°F
30%
96-97°F
34%
98-99°F
16%
100-101 °F
3%
102-103°F
1%
104°F oder höher
<1%
96-97°F 34%
94-95°F 30%
98-99°F 16%
92-93°F 15%
$19,514 Vol.
$19,514 Vol.
6. Sep. 2026
85°F oder darunter
$2,933 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$1,305 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$245 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$1,744 Vol.
6%
92-93°F
$2,263 Vol.
15%
94-95°F
$3,868 Vol.
30%
96-97°F
$3,899 Vol.
34%
98-99°F
$1,234 Vol.
16%
100-101 °F
$799 Vol.
3%
102-103°F
$667 Vol.
1%
104°F oder höher
$557 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on September 6, 2026, project daytime highs of 96–97°F at key sites like Austin-Bergstrom and Camp Mabry, with partly cloudy skies, southeast winds near 5 mph, and a 30–40% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. This range aligns with the market’s tightest clustering around 94–97°F, as traders weigh model consensus against potential convective cooling from storms or increased cloud cover that could suppress peak readings. Recent early-September observations showed highs near 100–101°F, but a modest cooling trend and higher humidity (dew points in the mid-70s) have shifted expectations toward the mid-90s. Heat-index values may still reach 105–109°F, yet resolution hinges on whether observed maxima at official stations exceed 95°F amid variable afternoon convection. Updated NWS guidance and real-time observations will refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volumen
$19,514Enddatum
6. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on September 6, 2026, project daytime highs of 96–97°F at key sites like Austin-Bergstrom and Camp Mabry, with partly cloudy skies, southeast winds near 5 mph, and a 30–40% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. This range aligns with the market’s tightest clustering around 94–97°F, as traders weigh model consensus against potential convective cooling from storms or increased cloud cover that could suppress peak readings. Recent early-September observations showed highs near 100–101°F, but a modest cooling trend and higher humidity (dew points in the mid-70s) have shifted expectations toward the mid-90s. Heat-index values may still reach 105–109°F, yet resolution hinges on whether observed maxima at official stations exceed 95°F amid variable afternoon convection. Updated NWS guidance and real-time observations will refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$19,514Enddatum
6. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on September 6, 2026, project daytime highs of 96–97°F at key sites like Austin-Bergstrom and Camp Mabry, with partly cloudy skies, southeast winds near 5 mph, and a 30–40% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. This range aligns with the market’s tightest clustering around 94–97°F, as traders weigh model consensus against potential convective cooling from storms or increased cloud cover that could suppress peak readings. Recent early-September observations showed highs near 100–101°F, but a modest cooling trend and higher humidity (dew points in the mid-70s) have shifted expectations toward the mid-90s. Heat-index values may still reach 105–109°F, yet resolution hinges on whether observed maxima at official stations exceed 95°F amid variable afternoon convection. Updated NWS guidance and real-time observations will refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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