**Current ensemble forecasts for Shenzhen on September 6 point to a daily maximum near 30–31 °C, with scattered thunderstorms introducing the main source of uncertainty.** High humidity (typically 80–90 % in early September) and atmospheric instability favor convective clouds and showers, which can reduce incoming solar radiation and cap afternoon peaks through evaporative cooling and increased cloud cover. Steering winds and the timing of any rain bands will determine whether brief clear intervals allow temperatures to reach 32 °C or whether persistent overcast keeps readings at or below 30 °C. Historical September averages hover around 31 °C, but day-to-day model runs show modest spread in maximum temperature depending on precipitation onset. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst for shifts in trader-implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 6. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 6. September?
31°C 35%
30°C 26%
32°C 15%
29°C 13%
NEU
NEU
6. Sep. 2026
24°C oder darunter
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
13%
30°C
26%
31°C
35%
32°C
15%
33°C
4%
34°C oder höher
1%
31°C 35%
30°C 26%
32°C 15%
29°C 13%
NEU
NEU
6. Sep. 2026
24°C oder darunter
$140 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$135 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$128 Vol.
2%
28°C
$59 Vol.
4%
29°C
$204 Vol.
13%
30°C
$363 Vol.
26%
31°C
$221 Vol.
35%
32°C
$63 Vol.
15%
33°C
$360 Vol.
4%
34°C oder höher
$122 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current ensemble forecasts for Shenzhen on September 6 point to a daily maximum near 30–31 °C, with scattered thunderstorms introducing the main source of uncertainty.** High humidity (typically 80–90 % in early September) and atmospheric instability favor convective clouds and showers, which can reduce incoming solar radiation and cap afternoon peaks through evaporative cooling and increased cloud cover. Steering winds and the timing of any rain bands will determine whether brief clear intervals allow temperatures to reach 32 °C or whether persistent overcast keeps readings at or below 30 °C. Historical September averages hover around 31 °C, but day-to-day model runs show modest spread in maximum temperature depending on precipitation onset. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst for shifts in trader-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$1,920Enddatum
6. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current ensemble forecasts for Shenzhen on September 6 point to a daily maximum near 30–31 °C, with scattered thunderstorms introducing the main source of uncertainty.** High humidity (typically 80–90 % in early September) and atmospheric instability favor convective clouds and showers, which can reduce incoming solar radiation and cap afternoon peaks through evaporative cooling and increased cloud cover. Steering winds and the timing of any rain bands will determine whether brief clear intervals allow temperatures to reach 32 °C or whether persistent overcast keeps readings at or below 30 °C. Historical September averages hover around 31 °C, but day-to-day model runs show modest spread in maximum temperature depending on precipitation onset. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst for shifts in trader-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,920Enddatum
6. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Current ensemble forecasts for Shenzhen on September 6 point to a daily maximum near 30–31 °C, with scattered thunderstorms introducing the main source of uncertainty.** High humidity (typically 80–90 % in early September) and atmospheric instability favor convective clouds and showers, which can reduce incoming solar radiation and cap afternoon peaks through evaporative cooling and increased cloud cover. Steering winds and the timing of any rain bands will determine whether brief clear intervals allow temperatures to reach 32 °C or whether persistent overcast keeps readings at or below 30 °C. Historical September averages hover around 31 °C, but day-to-day model runs show modest spread in maximum temperature depending on precipitation onset. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst for shifts in trader-implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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