Recent weather models from sources like the GFS indicate Toronto's minimum temperature on September 6 will likely fall between 15–17°C under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 15.5°C for the date. Market-implied odds reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing, with traders balancing the potential for slightly warmer conditions under increased cloud cover against clearer skies that could allow temperatures to dip toward 14°C or lower. Upcoming National Weather Service and Environment Canada model runs will provide the key updates influencing resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Toronto am 6. September?
20°C oder höher 69%
10°C oder niedriger 59%
18°C 50%
13°C 49%
10°C oder niedriger
59%
11°C
20%
12°C
20%
13°C
49%
14°C
49%
15°C
30%
16°C
27%
17°C
26%
18°C
50%
19°C
49%
20°C oder höher
69%
20°C oder höher 69%
10°C oder niedriger 59%
18°C 50%
13°C 49%
10°C oder niedriger
59%
11°C
20%
12°C
20%
13°C
49%
14°C
49%
15°C
30%
16°C
27%
17°C
26%
18°C
50%
19°C
49%
20°C oder höher
69%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 4, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather models from sources like the GFS indicate Toronto's minimum temperature on September 6 will likely fall between 15–17°C under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 15.5°C for the date. Market-implied odds reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing, with traders balancing the potential for slightly warmer conditions under increased cloud cover against clearer skies that could allow temperatures to dip toward 14°C or lower. Upcoming National Weather Service and Environment Canada model runs will provide the key updates influencing resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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