Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 31°C on September 5 under mainly cloudy skies with a few showers and sunny intervals, driven by west to southwest winds of force 4. This setup, following earlier monsoon influences and distant tropical cyclone effects, favors moderate heating with cloud cover and moisture limiting extreme peaks, consistent with early September climatology near 29–30°C. Model consensus across sources shows limited disagreement, with showers potentially suppressing temperatures below 31°C or allowing brief clearing toward 32°C. The closely matched market-implied odds for 30°C and 31°C reflect uncertainty in exact daytime maximums ahead of updated model runs and HKO briefings, where shifts in wind patterns or precipitation timing could tip resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 5. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 5. September?
31°C 49%
30°C 30%
29°C 21%
32°C 7%
NEU
NEU
5. Sep. 2026
24°C oder darunter
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
21%
30°C
30%
31°C
49%
32°C
7%
33°C
2%
34°C oder höher
<1%
31°C 49%
30°C 30%
29°C 21%
32°C 7%
NEU
NEU
5. Sep. 2026
24°C oder darunter
$5 Vol.
1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$5 Vol.
1%
28°C
$40 Vol.
3%
29°C
$19 Vol.
21%
30°C
$14 Vol.
30%
31°C
$10 Vol.
49%
32°C
$66 Vol.
7%
33°C
$8 Vol.
2%
34°C oder höher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 31°C on September 5 under mainly cloudy skies with a few showers and sunny intervals, driven by west to southwest winds of force 4. This setup, following earlier monsoon influences and distant tropical cyclone effects, favors moderate heating with cloud cover and moisture limiting extreme peaks, consistent with early September climatology near 29–30°C. Model consensus across sources shows limited disagreement, with showers potentially suppressing temperatures below 31°C or allowing brief clearing toward 32°C. The closely matched market-implied odds for 30°C and 31°C reflect uncertainty in exact daytime maximums ahead of updated model runs and HKO briefings, where shifts in wind patterns or precipitation timing could tip resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$172Enddatum
5. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 31°C on September 5 under mainly cloudy skies with a few showers and sunny intervals, driven by west to southwest winds of force 4. This setup, following earlier monsoon influences and distant tropical cyclone effects, favors moderate heating with cloud cover and moisture limiting extreme peaks, consistent with early September climatology near 29–30°C. Model consensus across sources shows limited disagreement, with showers potentially suppressing temperatures below 31°C or allowing brief clearing toward 32°C. The closely matched market-implied odds for 30°C and 31°C reflect uncertainty in exact daytime maximums ahead of updated model runs and HKO briefings, where shifts in wind patterns or precipitation timing could tip resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$172Enddatum
5. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 31°C on September 5 under mainly cloudy skies with a few showers and sunny intervals, driven by west to southwest winds of force 4. This setup, following earlier monsoon influences and distant tropical cyclone effects, favors moderate heating with cloud cover and moisture limiting extreme peaks, consistent with early September climatology near 29–30°C. Model consensus across sources shows limited disagreement, with showers potentially suppressing temperatures below 31°C or allowing brief clearing toward 32°C. The closely matched market-implied odds for 30°C and 31°C reflect uncertainty in exact daytime maximums ahead of updated model runs and HKO briefings, where shifts in wind patterns or precipitation timing could tip resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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