A cold front advancing from the south, followed by a polar air mass, is the main driver lowering expected minimum temperatures in São Paulo on September 6. Official forecasts indicate widespread rain, increased cloud cover, and southeasterly winds that limit daytime heating while enhancing radiational cooling overnight, with model consensus pointing to lows near 9–12°C and daytime highs of 13–16°C. This setup contrasts with typical early-September averages around 15°C minimums, creating the observed market clustering around 10–16°C outcomes. Traders weigh the precise timing of peak cooling and any model spread in minimum readings, as small shifts in frontal position or precipitation intensity could alter the daily low by a degree or two before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 6. September?
16°C oder höher 69%
8°C 49%
13°C 46%
11°C 30%
6°C oder darunter
1%
7°C
20%
8°C
49%
9°C
23%
10°C
27%
11°C
30%
12°C
27%
13°C
46%
14°C
27%
15°C
20%
16°C oder höher
69%
16°C oder höher 69%
8°C 49%
13°C 46%
11°C 30%
6°C oder darunter
1%
7°C
20%
8°C
49%
9°C
23%
10°C
27%
11°C
30%
12°C
27%
13°C
46%
14°C
27%
15°C
20%
16°C oder höher
69%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 4, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...A cold front advancing from the south, followed by a polar air mass, is the main driver lowering expected minimum temperatures in São Paulo on September 6. Official forecasts indicate widespread rain, increased cloud cover, and southeasterly winds that limit daytime heating while enhancing radiational cooling overnight, with model consensus pointing to lows near 9–12°C and daytime highs of 13–16°C. This setup contrasts with typical early-September averages around 15°C minimums, creating the observed market clustering around 10–16°C outcomes. Traders weigh the precise timing of peak cooling and any model spread in minimum readings, as small shifts in frontal position or precipitation intensity could alter the daily low by a degree or two before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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