**Forecast models indicate a high near 25–26°C for Qingdao on September 9, 2026, aligning with the market’s near-even split between those outcomes.** Northerly winds of 4–5 Beaufort, persisting from the prior day’s 28°C peak under clear skies, advect cooler maritime air from the Yellow Sea while increasing mixing that caps daytime warming. Partly cloudy to mostly cloudy conditions expected midday will reduce insolation compared with September 8, limiting the surface energy budget and keeping the maximum 1–3°C below recent values. Historical September averages hover around 26°C, but the current steering pattern and modest cloud cover introduce the narrow uncertainty separating 25°C from 26°C resolution. Updated NMC or ECMWF runs tomorrow morning will refine whether sufficient clearing occurs for the higher reading.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Qingdao am 9. September?
25°C 37%
26°C 36%
24°C 16%
27°C 10%
19°C oder niedriger
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
16%
25°C
37%
26°C
36%
27°C
10%
28°C
2%
29°C oder höher
1%
25°C 37%
26°C 36%
24°C 16%
27°C 10%
19°C oder niedriger
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
16%
25°C
37%
26°C
36%
27°C
10%
28°C
2%
29°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate a high near 25–26°C for Qingdao on September 9, 2026, aligning with the market’s near-even split between those outcomes.** Northerly winds of 4–5 Beaufort, persisting from the prior day’s 28°C peak under clear skies, advect cooler maritime air from the Yellow Sea while increasing mixing that caps daytime warming. Partly cloudy to mostly cloudy conditions expected midday will reduce insolation compared with September 8, limiting the surface energy budget and keeping the maximum 1–3°C below recent values. Historical September averages hover around 26°C, but the current steering pattern and modest cloud cover introduce the narrow uncertainty separating 25°C from 26°C resolution. Updated NMC or ECMWF runs tomorrow morning will refine whether sufficient clearing occurs for the higher reading.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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