Recent forecast shifts toward a Bay Area heat wave driven by a weakening marine layer and reduced sea breeze have elevated overnight lows for September 9, supporting trader emphasis on the 66-67°F range at 36% alongside the 55°F-or-below bucket. San Francisco’s typical September marine influence, which draws cooler Pacific air via the onshore flow and maintains historical average lows near 56°F, faces competition from warmer aloft conditions and reduced cloud cover that limit radiational cooling. Model consensus remains split on the precise timing and strength of any returning westerly winds, creating genuine uncertainty reflected in closely matched leading outcomes. Updated National Weather Service guidance and overnight observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in San Francisco am 9. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in San Francisco am 9. September?
55°F oder darunter 62%
58-59°F 49%
66-67 °F 47%
64-65°F 28%
NEU
NEU
9. Sep. 2026
55°F oder darunter
62%
56-57 °F
8%
58-59°F
49%
60-61 °F
26%
62-63°F
17%
64-65°F
28%
66-67 °F
37%
68-69°F
28%
70-71°F
15%
72-73°F
9%
74°F oder höher
25%
55°F oder darunter 62%
58-59°F 49%
66-67 °F 47%
64-65°F 28%
NEU
NEU
9. Sep. 2026
55°F oder darunter
$52 Vol.
62%
56-57 °F
$118 Vol.
8%
58-59°F
$45 Vol.
49%
60-61 °F
$11 Vol.
26%
62-63°F
$10 Vol.
17%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
28%
66-67 °F
$294 Vol.
37%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
28%
70-71°F
$141 Vol.
15%
72-73°F
$88 Vol.
9%
74°F oder höher
$31 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast shifts toward a Bay Area heat wave driven by a weakening marine layer and reduced sea breeze have elevated overnight lows for September 9, supporting trader emphasis on the 66-67°F range at 36% alongside the 55°F-or-below bucket. San Francisco’s typical September marine influence, which draws cooler Pacific air via the onshore flow and maintains historical average lows near 56°F, faces competition from warmer aloft conditions and reduced cloud cover that limit radiational cooling. Model consensus remains split on the precise timing and strength of any returning westerly winds, creating genuine uncertainty reflected in closely matched leading outcomes. Updated National Weather Service guidance and overnight observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 7, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volumen
$789Enddatum
9. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 7, 2026, 7:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast shifts toward a Bay Area heat wave driven by a weakening marine layer and reduced sea breeze have elevated overnight lows for September 9, supporting trader emphasis on the 66-67°F range at 36% alongside the 55°F-or-below bucket. San Francisco’s typical September marine influence, which draws cooler Pacific air via the onshore flow and maintains historical average lows near 56°F, faces competition from warmer aloft conditions and reduced cloud cover that limit radiational cooling. Model consensus remains split on the precise timing and strength of any returning westerly winds, creating genuine uncertainty reflected in closely matched leading outcomes. Updated National Weather Service guidance and overnight observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$789Enddatum
9. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 7, 2026, 7:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast shifts toward a Bay Area heat wave driven by a weakening marine layer and reduced sea breeze have elevated overnight lows for September 9, supporting trader emphasis on the 66-67°F range at 36% alongside the 55°F-or-below bucket. San Francisco’s typical September marine influence, which draws cooler Pacific air via the onshore flow and maintains historical average lows near 56°F, faces competition from warmer aloft conditions and reduced cloud cover that limit radiational cooling. Model consensus remains split on the precise timing and strength of any returning westerly winds, creating genuine uncertainty reflected in closely matched leading outcomes. Updated National Weather Service guidance and overnight observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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