Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts position overnight lows near 80–82°F for Dallas on September 10, supporting the market’s leading 80–81°F (42.5%) and 82–83°F (30%) outcomes. Persistent southerly flow advecting warm, humid air from the Gulf, combined with limited cloud cover and heat indices above 105°F, has suppressed nocturnal cooling below the 72°F climatological average. A modest 20–30% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms offers slight potential for localized cooling, yet steering patterns and ensemble guidance show minimal downside risk to sub-78°F readings. Updated NHC and local model runs tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalyst that could refine these implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Dallas am 10. September?
80–81°F 43%
82-83°F 31%
78-79°F 16%
71°F oder darunter 15%
71°F oder darunter
15%
72-73°F
14%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
16%
80–81°F
43%
82-83°F
31%
84-85°F
15%
86–87°F
14%
88-89°F
15%
90°F oder höher
15%
80–81°F 43%
82-83°F 31%
78-79°F 16%
71°F oder darunter 15%
71°F oder darunter
15%
72-73°F
14%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
16%
80–81°F
43%
82-83°F
31%
84-85°F
15%
86–87°F
14%
88-89°F
15%
90°F oder höher
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts position overnight lows near 80–82°F for Dallas on September 10, supporting the market’s leading 80–81°F (42.5%) and 82–83°F (30%) outcomes. Persistent southerly flow advecting warm, humid air from the Gulf, combined with limited cloud cover and heat indices above 105°F, has suppressed nocturnal cooling below the 72°F climatological average. A modest 20–30% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms offers slight potential for localized cooling, yet steering patterns and ensemble guidance show minimal downside risk to sub-78°F readings. Updated NHC and local model runs tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalyst that could refine these implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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