Recent National Weather Service model consensus and ensemble runs indicate overnight lows in New York City on September 11 will likely settle in the mid-to-upper 60s°F, driven by northwest winds, partial clearing after daytime heating, and moderate humidity levels that limit strong radiational cooling. These conditions create tight clustering around the 66–69°F bins while allowing upside risk from lingering cloud cover or a slower wind shift that could hold minima near 70–71°F. Historical September climatology shows average Central Park lows near 63°F, yet current sea-surface temperatures and lack of strong cold advection support the market’s elevated odds on warmer thresholds. Updated forecast discussions and morning model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in NYC am 11. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in NYC am 11. September?
80°F oder höher 46%
61°F oder weniger 45%
72-73°F 39%
68-69°F 37%
NEU
NEU
11. Sep. 2026
61°F oder weniger
45%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
15%
68-69°F
24%
70-71°F
29%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
2%
80°F oder höher
46%
80°F oder höher 46%
61°F oder weniger 45%
72-73°F 39%
68-69°F 37%
NEU
NEU
11. Sep. 2026
61°F oder weniger
$0 Vol.
45%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
8%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
9%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
15%
68-69°F
$56 Vol.
24%
70-71°F
$42 Vol.
29%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
39%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
16%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
8%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
2%
80°F oder höher
$0 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model consensus and ensemble runs indicate overnight lows in New York City on September 11 will likely settle in the mid-to-upper 60s°F, driven by northwest winds, partial clearing after daytime heating, and moderate humidity levels that limit strong radiational cooling. These conditions create tight clustering around the 66–69°F bins while allowing upside risk from lingering cloud cover or a slower wind shift that could hold minima near 70–71°F. Historical September climatology shows average Central Park lows near 63°F, yet current sea-surface temperatures and lack of strong cold advection support the market’s elevated odds on warmer thresholds. Updated forecast discussions and morning model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volumen
$98Enddatum
11. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model consensus and ensemble runs indicate overnight lows in New York City on September 11 will likely settle in the mid-to-upper 60s°F, driven by northwest winds, partial clearing after daytime heating, and moderate humidity levels that limit strong radiational cooling. These conditions create tight clustering around the 66–69°F bins while allowing upside risk from lingering cloud cover or a slower wind shift that could hold minima near 70–71°F. Historical September climatology shows average Central Park lows near 63°F, yet current sea-surface temperatures and lack of strong cold advection support the market’s elevated odds on warmer thresholds. Updated forecast discussions and morning model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$98Enddatum
11. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service model consensus and ensemble runs indicate overnight lows in New York City on September 11 will likely settle in the mid-to-upper 60s°F, driven by northwest winds, partial clearing after daytime heating, and moderate humidity levels that limit strong radiational cooling. These conditions create tight clustering around the 66–69°F bins while allowing upside risk from lingering cloud cover or a slower wind shift that could hold minima near 70–71°F. Historical September climatology shows average Central Park lows near 63°F, yet current sea-surface temperatures and lack of strong cold advection support the market’s elevated odds on warmer thresholds. Updated forecast discussions and morning model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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