**Recent model consensus from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global ensembles points to a daily maximum near or slightly above the September climatological average of 23–24°C for Mexico City on September 11.** High-elevation cooling at roughly 2,240 m, combined with ongoing rainy-season instability from low-pressure channels and upper-level troughs, favors afternoon convection that typically caps peaks through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. However, recent observations (e.g., 25.5°C on September 9) and variable model runs showing lighter rain or delayed onset have lifted implied probabilities for 25°C+ outcomes. Official resolution will hinge on the precise station reading amid forecast uncertainty in timing and intensity of showers.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 11. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 11. September?
26°C oder höher 48%
25°C 35%
24°C 13%
23°C 5%
NEU
NEU
11. Sep. 2026
16°C oder weniger
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
5%
24°C
13%
25°C
35%
26°C oder höher
48%
26°C oder höher 48%
25°C 35%
24°C 13%
23°C 5%
NEU
NEU
11. Sep. 2026
16°C oder weniger
$266 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$256 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$256 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$176 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$36 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$23 Vol.
1%
22°C
$117 Vol.
3%
23°C
$93 Vol.
5%
24°C
$124 Vol.
13%
25°C
$332 Vol.
35%
26°C oder höher
$822 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global ensembles points to a daily maximum near or slightly above the September climatological average of 23–24°C for Mexico City on September 11.** High-elevation cooling at roughly 2,240 m, combined with ongoing rainy-season instability from low-pressure channels and upper-level troughs, favors afternoon convection that typically caps peaks through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. However, recent observations (e.g., 25.5°C on September 9) and variable model runs showing lighter rain or delayed onset have lifted implied probabilities for 25°C+ outcomes. Official resolution will hinge on the precise station reading amid forecast uncertainty in timing and intensity of showers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volumen
$2,501Enddatum
11. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global ensembles points to a daily maximum near or slightly above the September climatological average of 23–24°C for Mexico City on September 11.** High-elevation cooling at roughly 2,240 m, combined with ongoing rainy-season instability from low-pressure channels and upper-level troughs, favors afternoon convection that typically caps peaks through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. However, recent observations (e.g., 25.5°C on September 9) and variable model runs showing lighter rain or delayed onset have lifted implied probabilities for 25°C+ outcomes. Official resolution will hinge on the precise station reading amid forecast uncertainty in timing and intensity of showers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,501Enddatum
11. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Recent model consensus from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global ensembles points to a daily maximum near or slightly above the September climatological average of 23–24°C for Mexico City on September 11.** High-elevation cooling at roughly 2,240 m, combined with ongoing rainy-season instability from low-pressure channels and upper-level troughs, favors afternoon convection that typically caps peaks through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. However, recent observations (e.g., 25.5°C on September 9) and variable model runs showing lighter rain or delayed onset have lifted implied probabilities for 25°C+ outcomes. Official resolution will hinge on the precise station reading amid forecast uncertainty in timing and intensity of showers.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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