Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 12 indicate a high around 23–26°C amid overcast skies and scattered showers, driven by lingering moisture from prior days of rain that suppressed daytime warming. High humidity and cloud cover limit solar heating, while light winds and basin topography trap cooler air, keeping maxima in the mid-20s rather than allowing stronger recovery toward 28°C. Model consensus shows precipitation probabilities of 50–60% that could further cap peaks near 22–24°C if showers arrive earlier or intensify. Trader odds clustered evenly across 21–28°C reflect this narrow uncertainty window, with resolution hinging on final CMA observations of the daily maximum before any post-frontal clearing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 12. September?
24°C 19%
25°C 17%
23°C 15%
26°C 14%
20°C oder niedriger
1%
21°C
9%
22°C
10%
23°C
15%
24°C
19%
25°C
17%
26°C
14%
27°C
8%
28°C
5%
29°C
3%
30°C oder höher
<1%
24°C 19%
25°C 17%
23°C 15%
26°C 14%
20°C oder niedriger
1%
21°C
9%
22°C
10%
23°C
15%
24°C
19%
25°C
17%
26°C
14%
27°C
8%
28°C
5%
29°C
3%
30°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 12 indicate a high around 23–26°C amid overcast skies and scattered showers, driven by lingering moisture from prior days of rain that suppressed daytime warming. High humidity and cloud cover limit solar heating, while light winds and basin topography trap cooler air, keeping maxima in the mid-20s rather than allowing stronger recovery toward 28°C. Model consensus shows precipitation probabilities of 50–60% that could further cap peaks near 22–24°C if showers arrive earlier or intensify. Trader odds clustered evenly across 21–28°C reflect this narrow uncertainty window, with resolution hinging on final CMA observations of the daily maximum before any post-frontal clearing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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