Official forecasts from MetService and supporting model runs project a daily maximum of 13°C in Wellington on September 10, driven by persistent cloud cover, periods of rain, and a strengthening southerly flow that limits daytime warming. This setup aligns with typical spring conditions in the region, where average September highs hover near 14°C but cool maritime air masses frequently cap temperatures. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect tight model consensus and limited upside potential from the current atmospheric pattern. A faster clearance of showers or an unexpected wind shift could allow brief warming toward 14°C, though observations at the official Kelburn station would need to confirm any deviation from the forecast peak.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wellington am 10. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 10. September?
13°C 99.4%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
8°C oder niedriger <1%
NEU
$29,951 Vol.
NEU
$29,951 Vol.
10. Sep. 2026
8°C oder niedriger
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
99%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C oder höher
<1%
13°C 99.4%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
8°C oder niedriger <1%
NEU
$29,951 Vol.
NEU
$29,951 Vol.
10. Sep. 2026
8°C oder niedriger
$1,306 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$1,064 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$1,292 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$2,041 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$6,661 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$5,721 Vol.
99%
14°C
$7,607 Vol.
1%
15°C
$2,441 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,088 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$361 Vol.
<1%
18°C oder höher
$369 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from MetService and supporting model runs project a daily maximum of 13°C in Wellington on September 10, driven by persistent cloud cover, periods of rain, and a strengthening southerly flow that limits daytime warming. This setup aligns with typical spring conditions in the region, where average September highs hover near 14°C but cool maritime air masses frequently cap temperatures. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect tight model consensus and limited upside potential from the current atmospheric pattern. A faster clearance of showers or an unexpected wind shift could allow brief warming toward 14°C, though observations at the official Kelburn station would need to confirm any deviation from the forecast peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$29,951Enddatum
10. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from MetService and supporting model runs project a daily maximum of 13°C in Wellington on September 10, driven by persistent cloud cover, periods of rain, and a strengthening southerly flow that limits daytime warming. This setup aligns with typical spring conditions in the region, where average September highs hover near 14°C but cool maritime air masses frequently cap temperatures. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect tight model consensus and limited upside potential from the current atmospheric pattern. A faster clearance of showers or an unexpected wind shift could allow brief warming toward 14°C, though observations at the official Kelburn station would need to confirm any deviation from the forecast peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$29,951Enddatum
10. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from MetService and supporting model runs project a daily maximum of 13°C in Wellington on September 10, driven by persistent cloud cover, periods of rain, and a strengthening southerly flow that limits daytime warming. This setup aligns with typical spring conditions in the region, where average September highs hover near 14°C but cool maritime air masses frequently cap temperatures. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect tight model consensus and limited upside potential from the current atmospheric pattern. A faster clearance of showers or an unexpected wind shift could allow brief warming toward 14°C, though observations at the official Kelburn station would need to confirm any deviation from the forecast peak.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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