Persistent southwest monsoon flow and widespread cloud cover from convective activity are capping afternoon heating in Manila, keeping forecast highs for September 10 clustered near 28–30 °C according to recent model guidance. Frequent thunderstorms and high humidity reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, limiting peak temperatures below the seasonal 31 °C average. Light to moderate southwesterly winds offer minimal mixing, while the absence of clear skies or subsidence keeps the daily maximum tightly constrained. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 29 °C and 30 °C, reflecting uncertainty over exact timing and intensity of rain bands that could shave another degree or allow brief clearing to push readings slightly higher. Updated PAGASA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Manila am 10. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Manila am 10. September?
29°C 25%
30°C 23%
28°C 19%
31°C 12%
NEU
NEU
10. Sep. 2026
24°C oder niedriger
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
7%
28°C
19%
29°C
25%
30°C
23%
31°C
14%
32°C
3%
33°C
2%
34°C oder höher
2%
29°C 25%
30°C 23%
28°C 19%
31°C 12%
NEU
NEU
10. Sep. 2026
24°C oder niedriger
$0 Vol.
2%
25°C
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C
$0 Vol.
5%
27°C
$2 Vol.
7%
28°C
$0 Vol.
19%
29°C
$0 Vol.
25%
30°C
$0 Vol.
23%
31°C
$498 Vol.
14%
32°C
$70 Vol.
3%
33°C
$0 Vol.
2%
34°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow and widespread cloud cover from convective activity are capping afternoon heating in Manila, keeping forecast highs for September 10 clustered near 28–30 °C according to recent model guidance. Frequent thunderstorms and high humidity reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, limiting peak temperatures below the seasonal 31 °C average. Light to moderate southwesterly winds offer minimal mixing, while the absence of clear skies or subsidence keeps the daily maximum tightly constrained. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 29 °C and 30 °C, reflecting uncertainty over exact timing and intensity of rain bands that could shave another degree or allow brief clearing to push readings slightly higher. Updated PAGASA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$570Enddatum
10. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow and widespread cloud cover from convective activity are capping afternoon heating in Manila, keeping forecast highs for September 10 clustered near 28–30 °C according to recent model guidance. Frequent thunderstorms and high humidity reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, limiting peak temperatures below the seasonal 31 °C average. Light to moderate southwesterly winds offer minimal mixing, while the absence of clear skies or subsidence keeps the daily maximum tightly constrained. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 29 °C and 30 °C, reflecting uncertainty over exact timing and intensity of rain bands that could shave another degree or allow brief clearing to push readings slightly higher. Updated PAGASA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$570Enddatum
10. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon flow and widespread cloud cover from convective activity are capping afternoon heating in Manila, keeping forecast highs for September 10 clustered near 28–30 °C according to recent model guidance. Frequent thunderstorms and high humidity reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, limiting peak temperatures below the seasonal 31 °C average. Light to moderate southwesterly winds offer minimal mixing, while the absence of clear skies or subsidence keeps the daily maximum tightly constrained. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 29 °C and 30 °C, reflecting uncertainty over exact timing and intensity of rain bands that could shave another degree or allow brief clearing to push readings slightly higher. Updated PAGASA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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