Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Miami on September 10 indicate overnight lows centered in the upper 70s to low 80s, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 78–81°F. Persistent easterly flow, high dew points near 77–80°F, and widespread cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms limit radiative cooling overnight, while variable wind speeds and any brief clearing windows could allow slightly lower readings near 78°F. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 77°F, but recent days with elevated minima around 74–80°F and model consensus on continued humid, disturbed conditions support the current trader emphasis on the 78–81°F range over cooler or warmer outliers. Updated forecast discussions and next model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Miami am 10. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Miami am 10. September?
78-79°F 36%
80-81°F 34%
82-83°F 19%
76-77°F 16%
NEU
NEU
10. Sep. 2026
73°F oder darunter
3%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
33%
80-81°F
34%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
5%
30-30,6 °C
9%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F oder höher
1%
78-79°F 36%
80-81°F 34%
82-83°F 19%
76-77°F 16%
NEU
NEU
10. Sep. 2026
73°F oder darunter
$0 Vol.
3%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
9%
76-77°F
$112 Vol.
16%
78-79°F
$445 Vol.
33%
80-81°F
$160 Vol.
34%
82-83°F
$160 Vol.
19%
84-85°F
$61 Vol.
5%
30-30,6 °C
$0 Vol.
9%
88-89°F
$75 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$20 Vol.
1%
92°F oder höher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Miami on September 10 indicate overnight lows centered in the upper 70s to low 80s, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 78–81°F. Persistent easterly flow, high dew points near 77–80°F, and widespread cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms limit radiative cooling overnight, while variable wind speeds and any brief clearing windows could allow slightly lower readings near 78°F. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 77°F, but recent days with elevated minima around 74–80°F and model consensus on continued humid, disturbed conditions support the current trader emphasis on the 78–81°F range over cooler or warmer outliers. Updated forecast discussions and next model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volumen
$1,043Enddatum
10. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Miami on September 10 indicate overnight lows centered in the upper 70s to low 80s, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 78–81°F. Persistent easterly flow, high dew points near 77–80°F, and widespread cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms limit radiative cooling overnight, while variable wind speeds and any brief clearing windows could allow slightly lower readings near 78°F. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 77°F, but recent days with elevated minima around 74–80°F and model consensus on continued humid, disturbed conditions support the current trader emphasis on the 78–81°F range over cooler or warmer outliers. Updated forecast discussions and next model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,043Enddatum
10. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Miami on September 10 indicate overnight lows centered in the upper 70s to low 80s, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 78–81°F. Persistent easterly flow, high dew points near 77–80°F, and widespread cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms limit radiative cooling overnight, while variable wind speeds and any brief clearing windows could allow slightly lower readings near 78°F. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 77°F, but recent days with elevated minima around 74–80°F and model consensus on continued humid, disturbed conditions support the current trader emphasis on the 78–81°F range over cooler or warmer outliers. Updated forecast discussions and next model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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