Official NWS forecasts project a Miami high near 89–90°F on September 11 under easterly flow and high moisture, with afternoon thunderstorms likely after midday. Convective timing and coverage remain the key variables: earlier or more widespread storms could limit peak heating to the mid-80s by reducing insolation, while delayed development would allow temperatures to reach the low 90s before sea-breeze or outflow boundaries intervene. Model guidance shows modest instability and dew points near 80°F, producing heat indices above 100°F but little consensus on exact maximum. This uncertainty keeps market-implied probabilities tightly clustered across the 84–93°F bins, reflecting traders’ assessment of typical early-September convective suppression versus clear-sky heating potential.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Miami am 11. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Miami am 11. September?
90-91°F 37%
86-87°F 28%
88-89°F 23%
92-93°F 20%
NEU
NEU
11. Sep. 2026
79°F oder niedriger
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
28%
88-89°F
23%
90-91°F
37%
92-93°F
20%
94-95°F
7%
96–97°F
7%
98°F oder höher
5%
90-91°F 37%
86-87°F 28%
88-89°F 23%
92-93°F 20%
NEU
NEU
11. Sep. 2026
79°F oder niedriger
$0 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
5%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
28%
88-89°F
$7 Vol.
23%
90-91°F
$5 Vol.
37%
92-93°F
$6 Vol.
20%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
7%
96–97°F
$0 Vol.
7%
98°F oder höher
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official NWS forecasts project a Miami high near 89–90°F on September 11 under easterly flow and high moisture, with afternoon thunderstorms likely after midday. Convective timing and coverage remain the key variables: earlier or more widespread storms could limit peak heating to the mid-80s by reducing insolation, while delayed development would allow temperatures to reach the low 90s before sea-breeze or outflow boundaries intervene. Model guidance shows modest instability and dew points near 80°F, producing heat indices above 100°F but little consensus on exact maximum. This uncertainty keeps market-implied probabilities tightly clustered across the 84–93°F bins, reflecting traders’ assessment of typical early-September convective suppression versus clear-sky heating potential.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volumen
$17Enddatum
11. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 2:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official NWS forecasts project a Miami high near 89–90°F on September 11 under easterly flow and high moisture, with afternoon thunderstorms likely after midday. Convective timing and coverage remain the key variables: earlier or more widespread storms could limit peak heating to the mid-80s by reducing insolation, while delayed development would allow temperatures to reach the low 90s before sea-breeze or outflow boundaries intervene. Model guidance shows modest instability and dew points near 80°F, producing heat indices above 100°F but little consensus on exact maximum. This uncertainty keeps market-implied probabilities tightly clustered across the 84–93°F bins, reflecting traders’ assessment of typical early-September convective suppression versus clear-sky heating potential.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$17Enddatum
11. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 2:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Official NWS forecasts project a Miami high near 89–90°F on September 11 under easterly flow and high moisture, with afternoon thunderstorms likely after midday. Convective timing and coverage remain the key variables: earlier or more widespread storms could limit peak heating to the mid-80s by reducing insolation, while delayed development would allow temperatures to reach the low 90s before sea-breeze or outflow boundaries intervene. Model guidance shows modest instability and dew points near 80°F, producing heat indices above 100°F but little consensus on exact maximum. This uncertainty keeps market-implied probabilities tightly clustered across the 84–93°F bins, reflecting traders’ assessment of typical early-September convective suppression versus clear-sky heating potential.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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