**Forecast consensus from GFS and regional models points to a minimum temperature near 24–25°C for Manila on September 10, shaped by the southwest monsoon’s persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms.** These conditions suppress nighttime radiative cooling while preventing significant daytime heat buildup, keeping overnight lows from falling much below 23°C or climbing above 26°C. Recent PAGASA observations show similar patterns, with recorded mins around 24.6°C amid 90%+ humidity and light-to-moderate southwest winds. Model spread and potential shifts in monsoon intensity or localized rain timing introduce uncertainty that supports the closely matched market-implied odds on the extreme bins (30°C+ and 20°C or below), though climatological baselines and current guidance favor values clustered around 24–25°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Manila am 10. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Manila am 10. September?
30°C oder höher 88%
20°C oder darunter 83%
28°C 38%
29°C 38%
NEU
NEU
10. Sep. 2026
20°C oder darunter
83%
21°C
4%
22°C
19%
23°C
25%
24°C
29%
25°C
33%
26°C
22%
27°C
21%
28°C
38%
29°C
38%
30°C oder höher
88%
30°C oder höher 88%
20°C oder darunter 83%
28°C 38%
29°C 38%
NEU
NEU
10. Sep. 2026
20°C oder darunter
$25 Vol.
83%
21°C
$35 Vol.
4%
22°C
$30 Vol.
19%
23°C
$10 Vol.
25%
24°C
$0 Vol.
29%
25°C
$0 Vol.
33%
26°C
$0 Vol.
22%
27°C
$0 Vol.
21%
28°C
$25 Vol.
38%
29°C
$50 Vol.
38%
30°C oder höher
$25 Vol.
88%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from GFS and regional models points to a minimum temperature near 24–25°C for Manila on September 10, shaped by the southwest monsoon’s persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms.** These conditions suppress nighttime radiative cooling while preventing significant daytime heat buildup, keeping overnight lows from falling much below 23°C or climbing above 26°C. Recent PAGASA observations show similar patterns, with recorded mins around 24.6°C amid 90%+ humidity and light-to-moderate southwest winds. Model spread and potential shifts in monsoon intensity or localized rain timing introduce uncertainty that supports the closely matched market-implied odds on the extreme bins (30°C+ and 20°C or below), though climatological baselines and current guidance favor values clustered around 24–25°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$200Enddatum
10. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from GFS and regional models points to a minimum temperature near 24–25°C for Manila on September 10, shaped by the southwest monsoon’s persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms.** These conditions suppress nighttime radiative cooling while preventing significant daytime heat buildup, keeping overnight lows from falling much below 23°C or climbing above 26°C. Recent PAGASA observations show similar patterns, with recorded mins around 24.6°C amid 90%+ humidity and light-to-moderate southwest winds. Model spread and potential shifts in monsoon intensity or localized rain timing introduce uncertainty that supports the closely matched market-implied odds on the extreme bins (30°C+ and 20°C or below), though climatological baselines and current guidance favor values clustered around 24–25°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$200Enddatum
10. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from GFS and regional models points to a minimum temperature near 24–25°C for Manila on September 10, shaped by the southwest monsoon’s persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms.** These conditions suppress nighttime radiative cooling while preventing significant daytime heat buildup, keeping overnight lows from falling much below 23°C or climbing above 26°C. Recent PAGASA observations show similar patterns, with recorded mins around 24.6°C amid 90%+ humidity and light-to-moderate southwest winds. Model spread and potential shifts in monsoon intensity or localized rain timing introduce uncertainty that supports the closely matched market-implied odds on the extreme bins (30°C+ and 20°C or below), though climatological baselines and current guidance favor values clustered around 24–25°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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