Latest official forecasts and model consensus from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and global ensembles project an afternoon high of 17–18 °C for Helsinki on September 10, aligning with the market’s tight clustering on those two outcomes. Morning observations near 13–14 °C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and scattered showers are expected to give way to modest warming as any breaks in cloud cover allow brief solar heating, yet persistent moisture and a modest onshore flow limit further gains. This places the day slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 16.4 °C while remaining well below recent extremes such as the 23.6 °C record set in 2024. Updated model runs through the morning have shown little deviation from this narrow range, reinforcing trader focus on the 17 °C and 18 °C bins as the most probable resolutions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Helsinki am 10. September?
17°C 55%
18°C 42%
16°C 4%
19°C 2%
$12,891 Vol.
$12,891 Vol.
13°C oder weniger
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
55%
18°C
42%
19°C
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C oder höher
<1%
17°C 55%
18°C 42%
16°C 4%
19°C 2%
$12,891 Vol.
$12,891 Vol.
13°C oder weniger
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
55%
18°C
42%
19°C
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Latest official forecasts and model consensus from sources including the Finnish Meteorological Institute and global ensembles project an afternoon high of 17–18 °C for Helsinki on September 10, aligning with the market’s tight clustering on those two outcomes. Morning observations near 13–14 °C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and scattered showers are expected to give way to modest warming as any breaks in cloud cover allow brief solar heating, yet persistent moisture and a modest onshore flow limit further gains. This places the day slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 16.4 °C while remaining well below recent extremes such as the 23.6 °C record set in 2024. Updated model runs through the morning have shown little deviation from this narrow range, reinforcing trader focus on the 17 °C and 18 °C bins as the most probable resolutions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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