Persistent southerly flow and clear skies under high pressure are sustaining above-normal heat across North Texas, with official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance showing a September 9 high near 100°F at Dallas/Fort Worth. Recent observations confirm daily maxima of 99–101°F, consistent with the 100–101°F bin holding 61.5% market-implied odds. Minimal cloud cover and dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s support strong diurnal heating without significant mixing or moisture to cap temperatures. The 98–99°F outcome trails at 26.5% as models show little spread, while probabilities for 102°F+ remain low absent any late intensification signals. Traders are weighting the stable, consensus forecast ahead of the final model runs and surface observations that will determine settlement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Dallas am 9. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Dallas am 9. September?
100-101°F 62%
98–99°F 27%
102-103°F 7%
96-97°F 5%
NEU
NEU
9. Sep. 2026
89°F oder niedriger
<1%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
5%
98–99°F
27%
100-101°F
62%
102-103°F
7%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
2%
108°F oder höher
1%
100-101°F 62%
98–99°F 27%
102-103°F 7%
96-97°F 5%
NEU
NEU
9. Sep. 2026
89°F oder niedriger
$123 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$55 Vol.
2%
92-93°F
$67 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$27 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$231 Vol.
5%
98–99°F
$2,960 Vol.
27%
100-101°F
$2,280 Vol.
62%
102-103°F
$266 Vol.
7%
104-105°F
$84 Vol.
2%
106-107°F
$80 Vol.
2%
108°F oder höher
$68 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southerly flow and clear skies under high pressure are sustaining above-normal heat across North Texas, with official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance showing a September 9 high near 100°F at Dallas/Fort Worth. Recent observations confirm daily maxima of 99–101°F, consistent with the 100–101°F bin holding 61.5% market-implied odds. Minimal cloud cover and dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s support strong diurnal heating without significant mixing or moisture to cap temperatures. The 98–99°F outcome trails at 26.5% as models show little spread, while probabilities for 102°F+ remain low absent any late intensification signals. Traders are weighting the stable, consensus forecast ahead of the final model runs and surface observations that will determine settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volumen
$6,226Enddatum
9. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southerly flow and clear skies under high pressure are sustaining above-normal heat across North Texas, with official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance showing a September 9 high near 100°F at Dallas/Fort Worth. Recent observations confirm daily maxima of 99–101°F, consistent with the 100–101°F bin holding 61.5% market-implied odds. Minimal cloud cover and dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s support strong diurnal heating without significant mixing or moisture to cap temperatures. The 98–99°F outcome trails at 26.5% as models show little spread, while probabilities for 102°F+ remain low absent any late intensification signals. Traders are weighting the stable, consensus forecast ahead of the final model runs and surface observations that will determine settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,226Enddatum
9. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southerly flow and clear skies under high pressure are sustaining above-normal heat across North Texas, with official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance showing a September 9 high near 100°F at Dallas/Fort Worth. Recent observations confirm daily maxima of 99–101°F, consistent with the 100–101°F bin holding 61.5% market-implied odds. Minimal cloud cover and dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s support strong diurnal heating without significant mixing or moisture to cap temperatures. The 98–99°F outcome trails at 26.5% as models show little spread, while probabilities for 102°F+ remain low absent any late intensification signals. Traders are weighting the stable, consensus forecast ahead of the final model runs and surface observations that will determine settlement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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