Recent National Weather Service guidance pegs Chicago’s September 10 high near 74 °F under post-frontal northeasterly flow, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly on 76–79 °F. The narrow spread reflects lingering uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and the precise strength of cool-air advection behind Wednesday’s front. Northeast winds of 5–10 mph limit daytime warming by drawing stable air off Lake Michigan while suppressing convective mixing, keeping maximum temperatures below the 78 °F climatological average. Ensemble model runs show modest spread in 850 hPa temperatures and cloud cover, producing the close contest between the 78–79 °F and 76–77 °F bins. Final NWS verification at O’Hare will resolve the market once afternoon observations are complete.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chicago am 10. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Chicago am 10. September?
78-79°F 42%
76-77°F 38%
74-75°F 10%
80-81°F 7%
NEU
NEU
10. Sep. 2026
69°F oder weniger
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
38%
78-79°F
42%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F oder mehr
<1%
78-79°F 42%
76-77°F 38%
74-75°F 10%
80-81°F 7%
NEU
NEU
10. Sep. 2026
69°F oder weniger
$88 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$137 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$22 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$263 Vol.
10%
76-77°F
$1,470 Vol.
38%
78-79°F
$706 Vol.
42%
80-81°F
$792 Vol.
7%
82-83°F
$154 Vol.
4%
84-85°F
$42 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$233 Vol.
<1%
88°F oder mehr
$121 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance pegs Chicago’s September 10 high near 74 °F under post-frontal northeasterly flow, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly on 76–79 °F. The narrow spread reflects lingering uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and the precise strength of cool-air advection behind Wednesday’s front. Northeast winds of 5–10 mph limit daytime warming by drawing stable air off Lake Michigan while suppressing convective mixing, keeping maximum temperatures below the 78 °F climatological average. Ensemble model runs show modest spread in 850 hPa temperatures and cloud cover, producing the close contest between the 78–79 °F and 76–77 °F bins. Final NWS verification at O’Hare will resolve the market once afternoon observations are complete.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volumen
$4,027Enddatum
10. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance pegs Chicago’s September 10 high near 74 °F under post-frontal northeasterly flow, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly on 76–79 °F. The narrow spread reflects lingering uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and the precise strength of cool-air advection behind Wednesday’s front. Northeast winds of 5–10 mph limit daytime warming by drawing stable air off Lake Michigan while suppressing convective mixing, keeping maximum temperatures below the 78 °F climatological average. Ensemble model runs show modest spread in 850 hPa temperatures and cloud cover, producing the close contest between the 78–79 °F and 76–77 °F bins. Final NWS verification at O’Hare will resolve the market once afternoon observations are complete.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,027Enddatum
10. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance pegs Chicago’s September 10 high near 74 °F under post-frontal northeasterly flow, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly on 76–79 °F. The narrow spread reflects lingering uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and the precise strength of cool-air advection behind Wednesday’s front. Northeast winds of 5–10 mph limit daytime warming by drawing stable air off Lake Michigan while suppressing convective mixing, keeping maximum temperatures below the 78 °F climatological average. Ensemble model runs show modest spread in 850 hPa temperatures and cloud cover, producing the close contest between the 78–79 °F and 76–77 °F bins. Final NWS verification at O’Hare will resolve the market once afternoon observations are complete.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen