Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to San Francisco overnight lows in the low-to-mid 60s on September 8, supported by strengthening high pressure, lighter winds, and a reduced marine layer that limits fog and allows greater radiative cooling. These conditions sit above the early-September climatological average low near 56°F yet remain well below the 68°F threshold that holds the highest market-implied probability. Trader interest in both the warm tail (68°F+) and cold tail (49°F or below) reflects lingering model spread on cloud cover and wind, plus San Francisco’s sharp microclimate gradients between the coast and downtown. Updated model runs and evening observations through September 7 will clarify whether the marine influence strengthens or offshore flow persists, directly affecting the final low.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in San Francisco am 8. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in San Francisco am 8. September?
68°F oder höher 76%
49°F oder darunter 73%
62-63°F 50%
64-65°F 49%
NEU
NEU
8. Sep. 2026
49°F oder darunter
73%
50-51°F
19%
52-53°F
19%
54-55°F
15%
56-57°F
31%
58-59°F
33%
60-61°F
26%
62-63°F
50%
64-65°F
49%
66-67°F
49%
68°F oder höher
76%
68°F oder höher 76%
49°F oder darunter 73%
62-63°F 50%
64-65°F 49%
NEU
NEU
8. Sep. 2026
49°F oder darunter
$0 Vol.
73%
50-51°F
$0 Vol.
19%
52-53°F
$5 Vol.
19%
54-55°F
$6 Vol.
15%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
31%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
33%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
26%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
50%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
49%
66-67°F
$22 Vol.
49%
68°F oder höher
$0 Vol.
76%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to San Francisco overnight lows in the low-to-mid 60s on September 8, supported by strengthening high pressure, lighter winds, and a reduced marine layer that limits fog and allows greater radiative cooling. These conditions sit above the early-September climatological average low near 56°F yet remain well below the 68°F threshold that holds the highest market-implied probability. Trader interest in both the warm tail (68°F+) and cold tail (49°F or below) reflects lingering model spread on cloud cover and wind, plus San Francisco’s sharp microclimate gradients between the coast and downtown. Updated model runs and evening observations through September 7 will clarify whether the marine influence strengthens or offshore flow persists, directly affecting the final low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 6, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volumen
$33Enddatum
8. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 6, 2026, 7:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to San Francisco overnight lows in the low-to-mid 60s on September 8, supported by strengthening high pressure, lighter winds, and a reduced marine layer that limits fog and allows greater radiative cooling. These conditions sit above the early-September climatological average low near 56°F yet remain well below the 68°F threshold that holds the highest market-implied probability. Trader interest in both the warm tail (68°F+) and cold tail (49°F or below) reflects lingering model spread on cloud cover and wind, plus San Francisco’s sharp microclimate gradients between the coast and downtown. Updated model runs and evening observations through September 7 will clarify whether the marine influence strengthens or offshore flow persists, directly affecting the final low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$33Enddatum
8. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 6, 2026, 7:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to San Francisco overnight lows in the low-to-mid 60s on September 8, supported by strengthening high pressure, lighter winds, and a reduced marine layer that limits fog and allows greater radiative cooling. These conditions sit above the early-September climatological average low near 56°F yet remain well below the 68°F threshold that holds the highest market-implied probability. Trader interest in both the warm tail (68°F+) and cold tail (49°F or below) reflects lingering model spread on cloud cover and wind, plus San Francisco’s sharp microclimate gradients between the coast and downtown. Updated model runs and evening observations through September 7 will clarify whether the marine influence strengthens or offshore flow persists, directly affecting the final low.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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